Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 19:44 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 12.4¢ | +0.9 pts |
| $10,000 | 27.8¢ | +16.3 pts |
| $100,000 | 69.4¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $500,000 | 69.4¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 11¢.
About $2K can be bought and $1K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 11.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 19:44 UTC.
Iranian Regime Collapse · Before 2028 · 8 events · $5.13M in play