Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 12.5¢ | +1.0 pts |
| $10,000 | 28.0¢ | +16.5 pts |
| $100,000 | 69.3¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $500,000 | 69.3¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 11¢.
About $1.99K can be bought and $2.45K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 11.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 16:01 UTC.
Iranian Regime Collapse · Before 2028 · 8 events · $5.13M in play
35 traders bet this week.