Market · 1 of 5 outcomes
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 08:38 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 81.2¢ | +35.2 pts |
| $10,000 | 87.3¢ | +41.3 pts |
| $100,000 | 92.7¢ | +46.7 pts |
| $500,000 | 94.6¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 42¢.
About $26 can be bought and $8 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 46.0¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 08:37 UTC.
Bab el-Mandeb Ship Transits · Oct 12–18 · 3 events · $1.19M in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.