Market · 7 of 20 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 04:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3256…c1db | No | 499 | 96.0¢ | $477 | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 9,946 | 4.2¢ | $438 | Losing−$1.11 per $100 · 2,223 bets |
| Elonurmom0x0f7f…6450 | Yes | 5,405 | 3.9¢ | $238 | — |
| 0x2ef2…7f72 | Yes | 5,000 | 2.0¢ | $220 | — |
| skold0r0xe089…ad3a | Yes | 4,775 | 2.2¢ | $210 | — |
| LinaBell🦊0x8eab…a56d | Yes | 4,000 | 2.0¢ | $176 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 4,037 bets |
| TweetPulse.Live0xbbdc…5d81 | Yes | 3,950 | 4.0¢ | $174 | — |
| AndreaPirlo0x09b4…e56d | No | 120 | 98.1¢ | $115 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 2,210 | 3.9¢ | $97 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 7,275 bets |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | No | 100 | 97.7¢ | $96 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 27,486 bets |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 2,000 | 2.5¢ | $88 | — |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 2,000 | 3.8¢ | $88 | Losing−$6.67 per $100 · 2,990 bets |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | 1,924 | 3.6¢ | $85 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 88 | 97.8¢ | $84 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| cool.guide0x0e70…bf72 | Yes | 1,800 | 2.0¢ | $79 | — |
| ElonJail0xb831…892b | Yes | 1,672 | 0.7¢ | $74 | — |
| CHAIN-19930x914b…e406 | No | 75 | 95.6¢ | $72 | — |
| hirichzhou0x71f7…2e2e | Yes | 1,502 | 4.0¢ | $66 | — |
| elonplstweets0x50a8…98ed | Yes | 1,346 | 3.7¢ | $59 | — |
| 1000Usdt0x47e4…28b8 | Yes | 1,226 | 2.0¢ | $54 | — |
| hhffkl880x0468…8198 | No | 56 | 95.9¢ | $54 | — |
| Bil666El0x43ad…da98 | Yes | 1,011 | 5.1¢ | $45 | — |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 1,000 | 2.0¢ | $44 | — |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 900 | 3.9¢ | $40 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 3,268 bets |
| wakuwaku30x7db5…cf18 | Yes | 710 | 1.5¢ | $31 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 665 | 3.0¢ | $29 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,642 bets |
| mcsg0x4d3d…5047 | Yes | 658 | 2.2¢ | $29 | — |
| Romeo0050x146d…17c7 | Yes | 600 | 1.9¢ | $26 | — |
| Blueynbingo0x52aa…42a2 | No | 26 | 95.5¢ | $25 | — |
| 0xd572…7377 | Yes | 527 | 1.0¢ | $23 | — |
| Melao0x48a3…bfec | Yes | 520 | 0.5¢ | $23 | — |
| TP19950xc575…38fd | Yes | 500 | 4.0¢ | $22 | — |
| bahn-cuon-baby0x5cdc…1f6b | No | 21 | 97.1¢ | $20 | — |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 410 | 3.8¢ | $18 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 8,509 bets |
| Fablurou0x3256…830c | Yes | 410 | 1.1¢ | $18 | — |
| Ruiziness0x306d…7a38 | Yes | 400 | 2.7¢ | $18 | — |
| sfdf780x736c…a3c9 | Yes | 304 | 6.9¢ | $13 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 289 | 3.8¢ | $13 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,318 bets |
| justwant50xbc13…5578 | Yes | 276 | 4.5¢ | $12 | — |
| kiaraanderson0xc6f8…8510 | No | 12 | 95.0¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 243 | 6.1¢ | $11 | Losing−$9.60 per $100 · 56,831+ bets · updating |
| edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bd | No | 11 | 94.2¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xa986…30f6 | Yes | 220 | 5.6¢ | $10 | — |
| 787hhij0x18d4…083d | No | 10 | 95.8¢ | $10 | — |
| WanderingPanda0x74ff…be5b | Yes | 208 | 2.5¢ | $9 | — |
| saragus0xf4d5…66e1 | Yes | 200 | 5.3¢ | $9 | — |
| bbynepo0x37b6…661f | Yes | 187 | 1.4¢ | $8 | — |
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | 178 | 3.7¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.76 per $100 · 6,865 bets |
| hhklll990x36dc…6893 | No | 8 | 95.9¢ | $8 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 162 | 3.8¢ | $7 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| 11110x280f…1963 | Yes | 160 | 3.0¢ | $7 | — |
| OsvaldoMarianao270xf939…43e1 | Yes | 154 | 5.2¢ | $7 | — |
| Faris200000x27bf…319b | Yes | 126 | 4.2¢ | $6 | — |
| akhk12450xca60…310d | Yes | 121 | 2.5¢ | $5 | — |
| AspectOfNightmares0x9ed3…bc84 | Yes | 116 | 4.5¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x2d2d…21c1 | Yes | 112 | 1.1¢ | $5 | — |
| rocky420080x79dc…ca77 | Yes | 112 | 4.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.10 per $100 · 5,361 bets |
| KongKessler0x6c30…2b7d | No | 5 | 98.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Miles070xdc47…c151 | Yes | 110 | 1.1¢ | $5 | — |
| owla0x0517…d513 | Yes | 100 | 1.6¢ | $4 | — |
| SaraDuterte0x23cc…4f5a | Yes | 100 | 1.1¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.02 per $100 · 13,936 bets |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 100 | 2.0¢ | $4 | — |
| b3t4t35t0xab18…467d | Yes | 100 | 2.5¢ | $4 | — |
| biegufuwo0x44e5…9d91 | No | 1 | 98.9¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $831K in play
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.