Market · 26 of 26 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 17:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
14 more outcomes in this event.
These 26 outcomes add up to 111.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hetacz0x6864…294b | No | 100 | 99.9¢ | $100 | Positive+$1.03 per $100 · 8,527 bets |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | No | 56 | 99.9¢ | $56 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 3,268 bets |
| z94a90x3099…cd58 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| rrqqzq0x9bb2…21cb | No | 15 | 99.0¢ | $15 | — |
| sebyastiens0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | 1,000 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 26 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.