Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 22:29 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 18.0¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $10,000 | 18.7¢ | +1.2 pts |
| $100,000 | 35.9¢ | +18.4 pts |
| $500,000 | 51.6¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 17¢.
About $15.1K can be bought and $12.9K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 17.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 22:28 UTC.
Bab el-Mandeb Ship Transits · Oct 12–18 · 3 events · $1.19M in play
99 traders bet this week.