Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 10:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 17.4¢ | +0.9 pts |
| $10,000 | 19.0¢ | +2.5 pts |
| $100,000 | 39.6¢ | +23.1 pts |
| $500,000 | 54.7¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 16¢.
About $8.45K can be bought and $7.11K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 16.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 10:25 UTC.
Bab el-Mandeb Ship Transits · Oct 12–18 · 3 events · $1.19M in play
91 traders bet this week.