Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 11:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 17.5¢ | +1.0 pts |
| $10,000 | 18.4¢ | +1.9 pts |
| $100,000 | 33.0¢ | +16.5 pts |
| $500,000 | 42.2¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 16¢.
About $13.5K can be bought and $17.7K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 16.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 11:17 UTC.
Bab el-Mandeb Ship Transits · Oct 12–18 · 3 events · $1.19M in play
94 traders bet this week.