Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 00:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 18.8¢ | +1.3 pts |
| $10,000 | 19.2¢ | +1.7 pts |
| $100,000 | 38.5¢ | +21.0 pts |
| $500,000 | 53.8¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 17¢.
About $10.4K can be bought and $11.2K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 17.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 00:53 UTC.
Bab el-Mandeb Ship Transits · Oct 12–18 · 3 events · $1.19M in play
87 traders bet this week.