Market · 30 of 53 outcomes
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
41 more outcomes in this event.
These 53 outcomes add up to 92.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| gloriafoster0x5d18…4972 | Yes | 2,130,988 | 0.7¢ | $3.2K | Losing−$7.65 per $100 · 426 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | No | 1,360 | 98.3¢ | $1.36K | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| justinesparza0x86f3…bdec | No | 336 | 99.9¢ | $335 | — |
| jgd0xb341…92be | No | 211 | 99.7¢ | $210 | — |
| Frostwyn0x640b…45c5 | No | 202 | 99.2¢ | $202 | — |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 201 | 98.9¢ | $201 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.