Market · 30 of 53 outcomes
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| gloriafoster0x5d18…4972 | Yes | 2,130,988 | 0.7¢ | $3.2K | Losing−$7.65 per $100 · 426 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | No | 1,360 | 98.3¢ | $1.36K | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| justinesparza0x86f3…bdec | No | 336 | 99.9¢ | $335 | — |
| jgd0xb341…92be | No | 211 | 99.7¢ | $210 | — |
| Frostwyn0x640b…45c5 | No | 202 | 99.2¢ | $202 | — |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 201 | 98.9¢ | $201 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| AlexAllll0xb3d8…7e81 | No | 191 | 99.7¢ | $190 | — |
| fireman8d20xf8ad…97a3 | Yes | 122,694 | 0.4¢ | $184 | — |
| 1c3190xc9c5…db87 | No | 142 | 99.3¢ | $141 | — |
| keasiyo0xee67…ef38 | Yes | 88,449 | 0.6¢ | $133 | Proven+$11.82 per $100 · 292 bets |
| xlefgerx0x94e4…534a | Yes | 74,854 | 0.4¢ | $112 | Positive+$12.65 per $100 · 450 bets |
| vafas0x98a9…ddb3 | No | 104 | 99.6¢ | $104 | — |
| deleonkyle0xfc14…92e6 | No | 102 | 99.7¢ | $102 | — |
| ga55sa0xf5a4…7ff2 | No | 101 | 99.6¢ | $101 | — |
| hernandezemily0x49d9…d4b3 | No | 101 | 99.9¢ | $101 | — |
| austingreen0x2585…930a | No | 98 | 99.7¢ | $98 | — |
| sheppardconnor0x6bb6…48c8 | No | 97 | 99.9¢ | $97 | — |
| greg960x75a2…9931 | No | 96 | 99.9¢ | $96 | — |
| 0x5f69…53a4 | No | 90 | 99.6¢ | $90 | — |
| rodriguezannette0xda6f…2044 | No | 89 | 99.9¢ | $89 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 59,012 | 0.4¢ | $89 | Positive+$12.21 per $100 · 3,931 bets |
| angelasanchez0x2369…2064 | No | 86 | 99.9¢ | $86 | — |
| tarahouston0xa44f…6cca | No | 84 | 99.9¢ | $84 | — |
| catherinenavarro0xa067…fa28 | No | 82 | 99.9¢ | $82 | — |
| davidshelton0xb7e4…9d6b | No | 82 | 99.9¢ | $82 | — |
| carpentergabriel0x0df0…59f7 | No | 81 | 99.9¢ | $81 | — |
| austinandrew0xbe44…ffd2 | No | 79 | 99.7¢ | $79 | — |
| williampratt0xefae…da53 | No | 79 | 99.9¢ | $79 | — |
| yasuomain20xfc8f…c70b | No | 75 | 99.6¢ | $75 | — |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 50,000 | 0.4¢ | $75 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| johnsonkathryn0xff1b…35b8 | No | 75 | 99.9¢ | $75 | — |
| egentry0x297d…760e | No | 74 | 99.9¢ | $74 | — |
| craig390xadd7…ccdc | No | 71 | 99.7¢ | $71 | — |
| kristenstevenson0xc961…db4e | No | 71 | 99.9¢ | $71 | — |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 44,131 | 0.7¢ | $66 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,297 bets |
| welchjeffrey0x644f…9cd8 | No | 65 | 99.9¢ | $65 | — |
| rioseric0xde11…212b | No | 62 | 99.9¢ | $62 | — |
| brooketrevino0x05bd…f909 | No | 61 | 99.9¢ | $61 | — |
| randomen0x665b…32b1 | Yes | 40,000 | 0.8¢ | $60 | New36 settled bets |
| 0x253d…3307 | Yes | 39,849 | 0.4¢ | $60 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 612 bets |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 39,803 | 0.7¢ | $60 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 58 | 99.2¢ | $57 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,406 bets |
| ggood0xeead…e4f1 | No | 55 | 99.9¢ | $55 | — |
| isadora20x4723…4a07 | No | 54 | 99.4¢ | $54 | — |
| steiner0x2dd1…7af0 | Yes | 35,000 | 0.4¢ | $53 | New46 settled bets |
| Mustafalafel0x8c0b…f0fb | Yes | 32,805 | 0.2¢ | $49 | Proven+$9.94 per $100 · 497 bets |
| xhthtt0xedb8…8b4f | No | 46 | 99.9¢ | $46 | — |
| 66df0x30fa…19d8 | No | 43 | 99.3¢ | $43 | — |
| retar7dio0x379c…797c | Yes | 27,273 | 1.1¢ | $41 | — |
| interboys0x8491…f31f | Yes | 23,171 | 1.3¢ | $35 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 110 bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 19,220 | 0.7¢ | $29 | New41 settled bets |
| butlerjeffrey0x53d7…eeef | No | 28 | 99.9¢ | $28 | — |
| zangt0x38ea…4d18 | No | 27 | 99.6¢ | $27 | New10 settled bets |
| ntasa0x8a96…82c1 | No | 24 | 99.6¢ | $24 | — |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 14,443 | 1.0¢ | $22 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| ksac0x16d6…5ffd | No | 21 | 99.6¢ | $21 | — |
| Donkov0xbc54…680f | Yes | 14,000 | 0.3¢ | $21 | Proven+$2.18 per $100 · 1,977 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 12,799 | 0.8¢ | $19 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| ewf43f340x4fb0…b56d | No | 19 | 98.8¢ | $19 | — |
| uzizhake0xacfe…b623 | No | 18 | 99.3¢ | $18 | — |
| BerniceEllis0xb9bc…6a3c | No | 18 | 99.3¢ | $17 | — |
| Eliya136810x9610…ae05 | No | 17 | 99.6¢ | $17 | — |
| 169f8849bc20x23a5…ce7a | No | 17 | 99.0¢ | $17 | — |
| 0x5e89…1d78 | Yes | 11,000 | 1.0¢ | $17 | — |
| jeffefefef0xdb47…709d | Yes | 11,000 | 0.5¢ | $16 | — |
| bloodmoney640x9cb7…d9b8 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.8¢ | $15 | — |
| phenelzine0xcc07…d226 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.8¢ | $15 | — |
| mon20260xce14…e38f | Yes | 10,000 | 1.1¢ | $15 | New21 settled bets |
| 0xda27…e831 | No | 15 | 99.3¢ | $15 | — |
| RodWalker0x17d6…f18d | No | 14 | 99.0¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x832d…eaa5 | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x4078…4124 | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xcf15…7995 | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x4acf…a439 | Yes | 7,692 | 1.3¢ | $12 | — |
| Starryplough0xa446…754e | Yes | 7,692 | 1.3¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 7,500 | 0.4¢ | $11 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| Jet90x8705…8354 | Yes | 7,500 | 0.4¢ | $11 | Proven+$8.39 per $100 · 490 bets |
| pmfpjd0xd06a…1dd1 | Yes | 7,500 | 0.7¢ | $11 | — |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 6,593 | 0.7¢ | $10 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| voknamis0x5bf8…6e66 | Yes | 6,528 | 0.8¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.8¢ | $9 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 5,603 | 0.7¢ | $8 | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,377 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 5,198 | 1.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| no-cry-in-casino0x8506…10ea | Yes | 5,000 | 0.5¢ | $7 | — |
| 77ghjhjk0x19df…4404 | Yes | 4,545 | 1.1¢ | $7 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 100 bets |
| for-the-lulz0x61e2…4958 | Yes | 4,545 | 1.1¢ | $7 | Losing−$97.69 per $100 · 135 bets |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 4,402 | 0.7¢ | $7 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,147 bets |
| 0x530c…529f | Yes | 3,906 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Losing−$7.41 per $100 · 243 bets |
| kqwjehrbqwemn0x92f6…bd97 | Yes | 3,300 | 0.7¢ | $5 | New65 settled bets |
| petanimal0xfd69…a2e1 | Yes | 3,038 | 0.4¢ | $5 | Positive+$10.73 per $100 · 3,634 bets |
| swapsstringbland0x04f8…176c | Yes | 3,000 | 0.7¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x4ac3…6aaa | Yes | 3,000 | 0.6¢ | $5 | — |
| pred1ctooor0x21a9…7f37 | Yes | 2,980 | 0.7¢ | $4 | New39 settled bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 2,760 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| qiyana0x45df…5b27 | Yes | 2,708 | 0.7¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.66 per $100 · 468 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 2,562 | 0.7¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,685 bets |
| shudd0x6884…417c | Yes | 2,549 | 0.9¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.86 per $100 · 357 bets |
| elhomerduff0x3150…7b16 | Yes | 2,455 | 1.1¢ | $4 | — |
| kangaroohodler0x262a…4e7e | Yes | 2,222 | 0.9¢ | $3 | — |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | Yes | 2,222 | 0.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 22,020 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.