Market · 14 of 19 outcomes
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:13 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
7 more outcomes in this event.
These 19 outcomes add up to 101.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | No | 1,726 | 96.0¢ | $1.73K | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| shmuel.0xa583…b44b | No | 440 | 92.5¢ | $440 | — |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 402,930 | 0.1¢ | $201 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,769 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 151,200 | 1.3¢ | $76 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | Yes | 134,380 | 0.3¢ | $67 | Positive+$6.53 per $100 · 7,295 bets |
| kneelbeforetheking0xeb34…7268 | Yes | 89,957 | 1.3¢ | $45 | Positive+$64.56 per $100 · 592 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 2 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.