Market · 10 of 19 outcomes
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
7 more outcomes in this event.
These 19 outcomes add up to 101.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nik-0x9e80…f694 | No | 2,671 | 99.2¢ | $2.67K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 2,529 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 826 | 99.9¢ | $825 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,860 bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | No | 258 | 99.8¢ | $257 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,981 bets |
| Phovion0x9763…3d11 | Yes | 126,765 | 0.2¢ | $190 | — |
| trader-05ddbe2e0x05dd…305c | No | 183 | 99.2¢ | $183 | Break-even−$0.55 per $100 · 19,460 bets |
| ubergoy0x7072…69ac | Yes | 104,771 | 0.5¢ | $157 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.