Market · 3 of 19 outcomes
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:52 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
7 more outcomes in this event.
These 19 outcomes add up to 101.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
10 proven traders are on Yes, 12 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| schizohedgehog0x4755…4158 | No | 82,193 | 97.0¢ | $80.4K | New63 settled bets |
| bearbees20x12b8…479c | No | 39,314 | 97.2¢ | $38.5K | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | No | 34,145 | 85.1¢ | $33.4K | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 22,018 bets |
| mrnobodyinvejoso0x9fcf…e455 | No | 30,731 | 89.8¢ | $30.1K | Positive+$1.51 per $100 · 892 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 25,207 | 97.3¢ | $24.7K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 776 bets |
| tryingout10xba0e…5ceb | No | 21,042 | 89.9¢ | $20.6K | Proven+$4.57 per $100 · 145 bets |