Market · 1 of 19 outcomes
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 16:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
7 more outcomes in this event.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 9 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| owenliang6660x792f…328a | Yes | 302,696 | 54.6¢ | $197K | New24 settled bets |
| Richidd0x934a…a684 | Yes | 173,445 | 57.7¢ | $113K | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| surfandturf0x9f2f…2ca8 | Yes | 140,001 | 43.9¢ | $91.1K | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 697 bets |
| 0xa694…ab37 | No | 172,631 | 54.2¢ | $60.3K | New5 settled bets |
| bisouss0x5c83…eceb | Yes | 87,346 | 49.7¢ | $56.8K | New17 settled bets |
| 0x53ec…df91 | Yes | 82,457 | 39.0¢ | $53.6K | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 1,976 bets |