Market · 1 of 19 outcomes
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 9 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| owenliang6660x792f…328a | Yes | 302,696 | 54.6¢ | $200K | New24 settled bets |
| Richidd0x934a…a684 | Yes | 173,445 | 57.7¢ | $115K | New91 settled bets |
| surfandturf0x9f2f…2ca8 | Yes | 140,001 | 43.9¢ | $92.6K | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 697 bets |
| bisouss0x5c83…eceb | Yes | 90,289 | 50.2¢ | $59.7K | New17 settled bets |
| 0xa694…ab37 | No | 172,631 | 54.2¢ | $58.4K | New5 settled bets |
| 0x53ec…df91 | Yes | 82,457 | 39.0¢ | $54.5K | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 1,976 bets |
| 0xcb01…7dfb | Yes | 73,964 | 42.9¢ | $48.9K | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 6,515 bets |
| degenxbt100x8b42…063e | Yes | 63,481 | 39.1¢ | $42K | New18 settled bets |
| 0x6e82…752c | Yes | 60,388 | 51.1¢ | $39.9K | Proven+$8.24 per $100 · 1,613 bets |
| IDontLikeRisk0xa2dd…e1b2 | Yes | 49,115 | 40.3¢ | $32.5K | Break-even−$0.86 per $100 · 1,785 bets |
| cubarsipau0x6c8d…fbc4 | Yes | 48,228 | 46.5¢ | $31.9K | New0 settled bets |
| Lordpengu0x58f5…c6c9 | Yes | 47,404 | 57.4¢ | $31.4K | New0 settled bets |
| Da3vil0x9441…98ba | Yes | 41,339 | 37.4¢ | $27.3K | New56 settled bets |
| 568710x0bab…ab66 | Yes | 33,866 | 48.2¢ | $22.4K | New0 settled bets |
| sfedk0xee97…11e9 | Yes | 32,694 | 47.5¢ | $21.6K | New5 settled bets |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | Yes | 32,503 | 51.1¢ | $21.5K | Proven+$8.66 per $100 · 548 bets |
| wallet5550x3ed2…ff3d | Yes | 32,404 | 66.7¢ | $21.4K | New0 settled bets |
| ahvgsyr0xab18…60b5 | Yes | 30,468 | 41.4¢ | $20.2K | New2 settled bets |
| marchettamaker0xfaeb…e98e | No | 58,560 | 41.3¢ | $19.8K | New34 settled bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 29,205 | 40.3¢ | $19.3K | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | Yes | 29,013 | 30.8¢ | $19.2K | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| BratyaKaramazov0xbb8a…2562 | Yes | 28,483 | 39.1¢ | $18.8K | Positive+$6.69 per $100 · 239 bets |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 28,399 | 35.3¢ | $18.8K | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 887 bets |
| BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c | No | 47,132 | 46.4¢ | $16K | Proven+$3.66 per $100 · 1,063 bets |
| ReedUpdatee0x07a9…32c8 | Yes | 24,017 | 33.9¢ | $15.9K | Losing−$7.86 per $100 · 133 bets |
| walletwallet930x1a1e…cc40 | Yes | 21,941 | 66.8¢ | $14.5K | New0 settled bets |
| hansama2310x381b…4d74 | Yes | 20,958 | 43.1¢ | $13.9K | Losing−$1.83 per $100 · 243 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 20,718 | 13.2¢ | $13.7K | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,903 bets |
| ArturitoFilito0x336b…1233 | Yes | 20,155 | 40.8¢ | $13.3K | Proven+$4.95 per $100 · 1,979 bets |
| chingmin0x22a2…aff7 | Yes | 19,850 | 59.6¢ | $13.1K | New0 settled bets |
| Melody7890xd88c…5235 | Yes | 18,489 | 43.2¢ | $12.2K | New62 settled bets |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 18,483 | 53.3¢ | $12.2K | Losing−$7.14 per $100 · 15,901 bets |
| Afuckingbot0x752e…b1b3 | Yes | 18,305 | 48.9¢ | $12.1K | Positive+$3.02 per $100 · 154 bets |
| sciuboi0xd6b6…342b | Yes | 16,572 | 36.9¢ | $11K | Proven+$8.59 per $100 · 584 bets |
| 0x26AF70xaf3f…b43e | Yes | 16,096 | 51.6¢ | $10.6K | New1 settled bet |
| souperman0x3e35…4f69 | No | 27,681 | 55.0¢ | $9.37K | New30 settled bets |
| resfeber0x814d…b842 | Yes | 14,000 | 28.1¢ | $9.26K | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 2,420 bets |
| backhome1880x589e…421c | Yes | 13,725 | 57.6¢ | $9.08K | New25 settled bets |
| yupiiiiiiiii0x44a1…bd21 | No | 24,267 | 44.1¢ | $8.21K | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 3,947 bets |
| Jeffray6660x226a…22fd | Yes | 11,948 | 40.4¢ | $7.9K | New5 settled bets |
| malanging0x5d21…cbc4 | Yes | 11,456 | 61.8¢ | $7.58K | New0 settled bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 11,280 | 55.4¢ | $7.46K | Losing−$5.52 per $100 · 111,745+ bets · updating |
| -Guapo--0x8725…eb10 | No | 21,862 | 54.2¢ | $7.4K | Losing−$4.67 per $100 · 13,454 bets |
| jasonwang1230xdc0e…93ab | Yes | 10,818 | 43.8¢ | $7.16K | New9 settled bets |
| 0xcca9…4c9f | Yes | 10,432 | 19.7¢ | $6.9K | Break-even−$0.50 per $100 · 265 bets |
| de5nuts0x80a0…5708 | No | 20,197 | 63.9¢ | $6.84K | Proven+$9.80 per $100 · 336 bets |
| 0x5e39…352c | Yes | 10,106 | 53.8¢ | $6.68K | Losing−$1.13 per $100 · 6,805 bets |
| Daddycome0xc098…cd90 | Yes | 9,862 | 41.8¢ | $6.52K | New66 settled bets |
| makrame70xfbec…db97 | Yes | 9,821 | 50.7¢ | $6.5K | New0 settled bets |
| jsuzvdjdb0x1495…f626 | Yes | 9,811 | 57.0¢ | $6.49K | New0 settled bets |
| 456ythgbvcadscvb0xeb6f…25f0 | Yes | 9,800 | 64.4¢ | $6.48K | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 1,517 bets |
| leegunner0xe542…0a37 | Yes | 9,772 | 24.9¢ | $6.46K | Proven+$8.60 per $100 · 7,245 bets |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | No | 18,579 | 45.5¢ | $6.29K | Positive+$6.46 per $100 · 7,356 bets |
| oral.kite56330x6d6f…0f95 | Yes | 8,926 | 58.1¢ | $5.9K | New7 settled bets |
| 0x610d…63c9 | Yes | 8,661 | 49.6¢ | $5.73K | New5 settled bets |
| hunutu1070x6862…99c5 | Yes | 8,476 | 58.3¢ | $5.61K | New5 settled bets |
| mewmew10xe95e…61f2 | Yes | 8,367 | 44.3¢ | $5.53K | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 1,290 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 14,838 | 45.4¢ | $5.02K | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| OrwellFactory0xfaa5…7cc9 | No | 14,459 | 44.2¢ | $4.89K | Positive+$1.50 per $100 · 823 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 6,671 | 56.8¢ | $4.41K | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| Alelu92920xe882…339e | No | 12,936 | 59.9¢ | $4.38K | New0 settled bets |
| Six0000000x89df…f8d0 | No | 12,254 | 43.1¢ | $4.15K | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 355 bets |
| norrisfan0xe72b…b0a0 | No | 11,825 | 55.4¢ | $4K | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 1,296 bets |
| FMANTENNA0x9826…e7fe | No | 11,057 | 43.4¢ | $3.74K | Proven+$6.08 per $100 · 273 bets |
| euro-catcher0xc2e5…b3a5 | No | 10,785 | 53.3¢ | $3.65K | Losing−$4.50 per $100 · 4,780 bets |
| leo7malone10x34cf…7188 | No | 10,543 | 41.9¢ | $3.57K | Losing−$10.34 per $100 · 212 bets |
| 3musketeers0xb251…6f5b | No | 10,500 | 58.2¢ | $3.55K | Proven+$6.86 per $100 · 663 bets |
| CloudCactus0x0c99…87cf | No | 10,183 | 78.0¢ | $3.45K | Losing−$4.34 per $100 · 1,156 bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | No | 10,074 | 56.9¢ | $3.41K | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 9,570 | 37.7¢ | $3.24K | Losing−$1.02 per $100 · 104,544+ bets · updating |
| cityhuang0x36e8…bd3f | No | 9,550 | 83.6¢ | $3.23K | New9 settled bets |
| basilkosh0xb82b…fc60 | No | 8,830 | 54.8¢ | $2.99K | Losing−$3.06 per $100 · 321 bets |
| 0xb427…a1d9 | No | 8,427 | 38.7¢ | $2.85K | — |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | No | 8,406 | 81.0¢ | $2.85K | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 22,012 bets |
| xf3Db0B80E95E28a628AE145134b8e5d7F2ECeBc80xe98b…5905 | No | 8,000 | 54.2¢ | $2.71K | New70 settled bets |
| TypeShi0x3df1…72e7 | No | 7,723 | 41.4¢ | $2.61K | Proven+$7.06 per $100 · 349 bets |
| Niki09020x2271…b8f1 | No | 7,660 | 53.7¢ | $2.59K | Proven+$9.49 per $100 · 104 bets |
| 0xb014…bd18 | No | 7,316 | 72.8¢ | $2.48K | New19 settled bets |
| MrLePack0x16b9…3d59 | No | 7,102 | 41.0¢ | $2.4K | New92 settled bets |
| Zzzz870x2117…5c26 | No | 6,799 | 47.7¢ | $2.3K | Losing−$3.46 per $100 · 9,498 bets |
| sicario920x3493…50fb | No | 6,675 | 65.7¢ | $2.26K | New25 settled bets |
| provingit0x1518…2652 | No | 6,000 | 54.9¢ | $2.03K | New57 settled bets |
| bambambole0x087d…b872 | No | 5,850 | 54.1¢ | $1.98K | Losing−$4.60 per $100 · 190 bets |
| Urwelcom0x78bc…2585 | No | 5,834 | 57.6¢ | $1.97K | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 709 bets |
| BlueBase-5680x6c43…fb9b | No | 5,202 | 36.3¢ | $1.76K | Proven+$2.95 per $100 · 2,399 bets |
| debased0x24c8…23e1 | No | 4,689 | 51.0¢ | $1.59K | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 7,227 bets |
| Mximus0x7e65…3b5c | No | 4,681 | 49.0¢ | $1.58K | New48 settled bets |
| hipp0x81e4…6f22 | No | 4,055 | 57.0¢ | $1.37K | Losing−$1.06 per $100 · 1,056 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | No | 3,945 | 40.2¢ | $1.34K | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| Manlikesal0xa124…6217 | No | 3,930 | 41.7¢ | $1.33K | — |
| zlt010x1044…d67a | No | 3,811 | 55.1¢ | $1.29K | Losing−$1.85 per $100 · 4,795 bets |
| SeanEleven0x03ed…c077 | No | 3,657 | 38.4¢ | $1.24K | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 2,625 bets |
| camb-0x6adf…4f5b | No | 3,600 | 40.4¢ | $1.22K | Positive+$3.41 per $100 · 474 bets |
| joyboy70200x93a7…c343 | No | 3,579 | 55.7¢ | $1.21K | New73 settled bets |
| annuity9720x35f0…000f | No | 3,565 | 42.4¢ | $1.21K | New23 settled bets |
| DOLLAR-PRINTER0x661d…4dc6 | No | 3,478 | 61.1¢ | $1.18K | Proven+$4.42 per $100 · 12,372 bets |
| 0xee19…555e | No | 3,419 | 57.1¢ | $1.16K | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 768 bets |
| hitaobicho0x224b…8927 | No | 3,259 | 40.8¢ | $1.1K | — |
| Lufelola0x4a69…228f | No | 3,018 | 49.8¢ | $1.02K | Losing−$28.78 per $100 · 278 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.