Market · 8 of 19 outcomes
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 17:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
7 more outcomes in this event.
These 19 outcomes add up to 101.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 1,890 | 99.8¢ | $1.88K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,860 bets |
| AZwater0x8245…ebed | No | 1,081 | 99.5¢ | $1.08K | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 5,681 bets |
| DuneMentat0x28ca…5d19 | No | 704 | 86.0¢ | $702 | Losing−$1.12 per $100 · 5,554 bets |
| norrisfan0xe72b…b0a0 | Yes | 192,993 | 0.3¢ | $675 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 1,296 bets |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | Yes | 115,277 | 0.1¢ | $403 | Positive+$6.53 per $100 · 7,295 bets |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | Yes | 69,999 | 0.2¢ | $245 | Proven+$8.79 per $100 · 547 bets |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 14 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.