Market · 7 of 19 outcomes
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 1,890 | 99.8¢ | $1.88K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,860 bets |
| AZwater0x8245…ebed | No | 1,081 | 99.5¢ | $1.08K | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 5,681 bets |
| DuneMentat0x28ca…5d19 | No | 704 | 86.0¢ | $702 | Losing−$1.12 per $100 · 5,554 bets |
| norrisfan0xe72b…b0a0 | Yes | 192,993 | 0.3¢ | $675 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 1,296 bets |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | Yes | 115,277 | 0.1¢ | $403 | Positive+$6.53 per $100 · 7,295 bets |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | Yes | 69,999 | 0.2¢ | $245 | Proven+$8.79 per $100 · 547 bets |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 200 | 90.8¢ | $199 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 55,774 | 0.3¢ | $195 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 52,622 | 0.3¢ | $184 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| cryplor0x7b17…51b1 | Yes | 46,177 | 1.2¢ | $162 | Losing−$26.02 per $100 · 438 bets |
| MarketCat0xb807…99cb | Yes | 45,000 | 0.3¢ | $157 | — |
| kkbest0x2020…4415 | Yes | 44,496 | 0.5¢ | $156 | — |
| Emri0x5175…1546 | Yes | 43,671 | 0.4¢ | $153 | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 179 bets |
| yupiiiiiiiii0x44a1…bd21 | Yes | 40,000 | 0.3¢ | $140 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 3,947 bets |
| puiemsd0x0659…2995 | Yes | 39,953 | 0.4¢ | $140 | New50 settled bets |
| 0xaeaf…99fe | No | 135 | 99.6¢ | $134 | — |
| 0x9073…40b1 | No | 129 | 99.6¢ | $129 | — |
| 0x2799…f2e8 | No | 123 | 99.6¢ | $122 | — |
| 0x2d4c…e4b7 | No | 122 | 99.6¢ | $121 | — |
| rickyvaughn0x32d1…b949 | Yes | 34,523 | 0.3¢ | $121 | — |
| P1kaso0x4aef…9337 | Yes | 32,332 | 0.3¢ | $113 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 3,744 bets |
| minmaricinminnar0xfb3f…5447 | Yes | 32,144 | 0.6¢ | $113 | — |
| koninginhetuniverse0xa579…aad0 | Yes | 31,753 | 0.4¢ | $111 | Break-even+$0.28 per $100 · 2,326 bets |
| leegunner0xe542…0a37 | Yes | 29,008 | 1.3¢ | $102 | Proven+$8.60 per $100 · 7,245 bets |
| ubergoy0x7072…69ac | Yes | 28,490 | 0.3¢ | $100 | — |
| gadfgs0x465a…88e5 | No | 98 | 99.7¢ | $98 | — |
| cadsdca0x3441…6e5e | No | 94 | 99.7¢ | $94 | — |
| qdasca0x5474…ce40 | No | 94 | 99.9¢ | $94 | — |
| qwerad0xc443…7046 | No | 94 | 99.9¢ | $94 | — |
| cdzca0x1b0c…0f28 | No | 91 | 99.7¢ | $91 | — |
| erwqsa0x9907…f0e6 | No | 91 | 99.9¢ | $91 | — |
| vcxzv0x61a4…f491 | No | 90 | 99.7¢ | $90 | — |
| Merk0x9852…111a | Yes | 25,191 | 0.3¢ | $88 | — |
| gibsmedats0x9842…132b | Yes | 24,938 | 0.4¢ | $87 | — |
| veafsd0x71a8…627e | No | 87 | 99.7¢ | $87 | — |
| borja130x454c…bd22 | Yes | 23,105 | 0.3¢ | $81 | Proven+$15.57 per $100 · 380 bets |
| Doodleee110xb8ca…c89c | Yes | 15,590 | 0.4¢ | $55 | — |
| 0x8ddb…04ec | Yes | 15,000 | 0.4¢ | $53 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 14,213 | 1.1¢ | $50 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 191,746 bets |
| Fbm0x3887…7f5b | Yes | 14,130 | 0.4¢ | $49 | — |
| prof.doktor0xb24d…c330 | Yes | 13,532 | 0.3¢ | $47 | — |
| TB140xae2b…90ea | Yes | 13,031 | 7.1¢ | $46 | Losing−$18.45 per $100 · 890 bets |
| marcditzler0xb80d…2dfc | Yes | 12,923 | 0.4¢ | $45 | — |
| 0x7023…b538 | Yes | 12,696 | 2.1¢ | $44 | — |
| 0xc34e…d4d5 | Yes | 12,608 | 0.3¢ | $44 | — |
| 0x8829…06e0 | Yes | 12,500 | 0.4¢ | $44 | — |
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | Yes | 11,632 | 0.6¢ | $41 | Proven+$12.11 per $100 · 580 bets |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 11,110 | 1.2¢ | $39 | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 886 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 10,673 | 1.0¢ | $37 | Losing−$8.60 per $100 · 29,951+ bets · updating |
| kvara770x0bc9…5bb9 | Yes | 10,499 | 0.3¢ | $37 | — |
| mailong110x20e9…691d | No | 33 | 99.5¢ | $33 | — |
| CrazyDeLaCaks0xd202…1ef5 | Yes | 8,995 | 0.4¢ | $31 | Proven+$8.91 per $100 · 1,568 bets |
| Alex215120xcdef…de52 | No | 31 | 99.8¢ | $30 | — |
| taemaxx0x37b2…8681 | Yes | 8,559 | 0.4¢ | $30 | — |
| ruby5o0xa711…ccc8 | No | 30 | 99.8¢ | $30 | — |
| alphogomi0x8351…5861 | No | 30 | 96.4¢ | $30 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 30 | 91.5¢ | $30 | — |
| aaronjmars0xd398…f00b | Yes | 8,333 | 0.3¢ | $29 | — |
| Lexington0xdebb…eedb | Yes | 7,937 | 1.1¢ | $28 | Proven+$2.90 per $100 · 8,190 bets |
| Trader1200x3de6…e560 | Yes | 7,254 | 0.5¢ | $25 | Losing−$4.32 per $100 · 27,047 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 7,188 | 0.3¢ | $25 | Positive+$12.12 per $100 · 3,911 bets |
| Marcosbl8n0xbd1e…30ba | Yes | 6,882 | 0.3¢ | $24 | — |
| 0xa4b1…8c9d | Yes | 6,826 | 0.4¢ | $24 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 6,389 | 1.1¢ | $22 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| Kastellvalen0xe5c2…6b76 | No | 21 | 99.7¢ | $21 | — |
| Sachatub0xb6a7…05be | Yes | 5,867 | 3.4¢ | $21 | — |
| 0x3a59…a364 | Yes | 5,846 | 3.1¢ | $20 | — |
| Hjklm0xff4b…d019 | Yes | 5,195 | 0.6¢ | $18 | Positive+$4.15 per $100 · 11,945 bets |
| debased0x24c8…23e1 | Yes | 5,125 | 1.1¢ | $18 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 7,227 bets |
| arenzoar0x4600…78aa | Yes | 5,001 | 0.5¢ | $18 | — |
| 0x2eae…a25f | Yes | 5,000 | 0.2¢ | $18 | — |
| GeeGazza0x3f9b…0029 | Yes | 5,000 | 8.5¢ | $17 | — |
| Bruce37940x6cf6…c489 | No | 17 | 99.7¢ | $17 | — |
| Deborah22580xb40b…8e41 | No | 14 | 99.9¢ | $14 | — |
| Susan45500xdd38…d121 | No | 13 | 99.8¢ | $13 | — |
| Austin11790x3f81…acad | No | 13 | 99.7¢ | $13 | — |
| Natalie15050x2925…12e0 | No | 13 | 99.8¢ | $13 | — |
| Pamela12160xe99c…cf00 | No | 13 | 99.7¢ | $13 | — |
| Melissa22590xc492…3abe | No | 12 | 99.7¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x539b…c64f | No | 12 | 99.8¢ | $12 | — |
| Alyssa44050xe38d…f65a | No | 11 | 99.7¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xe9f3…c28d | No | 11 | 94.2¢ | $11 | — |
| Henry15300x8a0d…36f7 | No | 11 | 99.8¢ | $10 | — |
| Aria59250xa4e8…4a3c | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | — |
| Willie5140xead3…58d1 | No | 10 | 99.7¢ | $10 | — |
| olivas0x37a0…ec34 | No | 10 | 94.6¢ | $9 | — |
| Zoey81060x37ec…0b48 | No | 9 | 99.7¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x792d…af4d | No | 7 | 99.7¢ | $7 | — |
| Mary12290xc45c…fd2b | No | 7 | 99.8¢ | $7 | — |
| volokolasik3330x7568…daf0 | No | 7 | 99.9¢ | $7 | — |
| Peter79250x4d5d…8f55 | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| AdelaideNorton8010x60cb…13b8 | No | 6 | 99.8¢ | $6 | — |
| Frances39860x31fb…8c85 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| Jeffrey12332130x7ab5…e123 | No | 5 | 91.5¢ | $5 | — |
| kunsect770x3880…db44 | No | 5 | 96.5¢ | $5 | — |
| GeorgeSalinas3800x8e2f…01c7 | No | 5 | 99.7¢ | $5 | — |
| RalphHenderson4960xd059…846e | No | 5 | 0.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Mckenzie64530x3911…28fb | No | 4 | 99.9¢ | $4 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 14 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.