Market · 6 of 19 outcomes
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
7 more outcomes in this event.
These 19 outcomes add up to 101.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ndb10xfea3…d227 | No | 88,344 | 95.7¢ | $88K | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 2,374 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 2,154 | 99.6¢ | $2.15K | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| hnwdgf0xcfca…9722 | No | 1,369 | 75.6¢ | $1.36K | — |
| 0xb014…bd18 | No | 1,101 | 80.7¢ | $1.1K | New19 settled bets |
| OhneScharf0xd277…73fe | No | 950 | 72.0¢ | $947 | — |
| DuneMentat0x28ca…5d19 | No | 943 | 91.0¢ | $940 | Losing−$1.12 per $100 · 5,554 bets |