Market · 7 of 19 outcomes
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 01:08 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ndb10xfea3…d227 | No | 88,344 | 95.7¢ | $88.1K | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 2,396 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 5,683 | 99.8¢ | $5.67K | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,710 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 2,297 | 99.6¢ | $2.29K | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,989 bets |
| hnwdgf0xcfca…9722 | No | 1,369 | 75.6¢ | $1.37K | — |
| 0xb014…bd18 | No | 1,101 | 80.7¢ | $1.1K | New19 settled bets |
| OhneScharf0xd277…73fe | No | 950 | 72.0¢ | $948 | — |
| DuneMentat0x28ca…5d19 | No | 943 | 91.0¢ | $941 | Losing−$1.16 per $100 · 5,584 bets |
| KM3770xa06f…cbad | Yes | 217,549 | 0.9¢ | $544 | — |
| -Guapo--0x8725…eb10 | No | 414 | 83.9¢ | $413 | Losing−$4.67 per $100 · 13,454 bets |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | Yes | 156,939 | 0.9¢ | $392 | Positive+$6.42 per $100 · 7,367 bets |
| FxnEdge0x2956…d31b | No | 387 | 98.8¢ | $386 | Positive+$3.36 per $100 · 686 bets |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | Yes | 100,000 | 0.8¢ | $250 | Proven+$8.35 per $100 · 564 bets |
| UsvoyAA30x6e0f…b192 | No | 208 | 96.4¢ | $207 | New29 settled bets |
| borja130x454c…bd22 | Yes | 68,179 | 0.3¢ | $170 | Proven+$15.55 per $100 · 381 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 163 | 99.7¢ | $162 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0xa848…8a1f | No | 150 | 89.9¢ | $150 | — |
| 0x396f…33ac | Yes | 50,823 | 1.0¢ | $127 | New36 settled bets |
| 0xe23d…2e1e | No | 121 | 99.7¢ | $120 | — |
| 0x91e4…7ff1 | No | 120 | 99.7¢ | $119 | — |
| 0x7b4a…6ac4 | No | 119 | 99.7¢ | $119 | — |
| 0x13b6…f13e | No | 113 | 99.7¢ | $113 | — |
| hb1481980xf4f9…b769 | No | 111 | 87.4¢ | $111 | — |
| Jeffrey12332130x7ab5…e123 | No | 111 | 88.4¢ | $110 | Proven+$7.73 per $100 · 415 bets |
| 0x5b1f…6211 | No | 108 | 99.7¢ | $108 | — |
| Pennymagic9710x66a8…5273 | Yes | 42,596 | 1.6¢ | $106 | New0 settled bets |
| 0xdaeb…87d4 | No | 106 | 99.7¢ | $105 | — |
| stefancastle2540x03c9…791b | No | 101 | 87.4¢ | $101 | New60 settled bets |
| P1kaso0x4aef…9337 | Yes | 40,000 | 2.7¢ | $100 | Positive+$1.51 per $100 · 3,752 bets |
| melganis0x0bfb…26a7 | No | 100 | 84.0¢ | $100 | Proven+$4.74 per $100 · 2,886 bets |
| Geromi0x8e8d…5a27 | No | 100 | 90.0¢ | $100 | — |
| ywerfs0x33ca…8ab2 | No | 99 | 99.2¢ | $99 | New40 settled bets |
| ymbetzzz0xcd61…0002 | Yes | 38,273 | 1.8¢ | $96 | Losing−$2.97 per $100 · 335 bets |
| zccdvxcv0x5ba7…d27a | No | 95 | 99.8¢ | $95 | New47 settled bets |
| gibsmedats0x9842…132b | Yes | 33,949 | 0.6¢ | $85 | — |
| bafdba0x18ff…1721 | No | 81 | 99.2¢ | $80 | New44 settled bets |
| debased0x24c8…23e1 | Yes | 31,791 | 1.2¢ | $79 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 7,227 bets |
| johanliebert0xab8c…256e | No | 73 | 96.6¢ | $72 | — |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 28,295 | 3.7¢ | $71 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | No | 70 | 62.0¢ | $70 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,150 bets |
| ubergoy0x7072…69ac | Yes | 26,764 | 0.9¢ | $67 | Positive+$21.32 per $100 · 118 bets |
| luminae0x9f3e…1edf | No | 66 | 98.6¢ | $66 | — |
| 0xdddd…f202 | No | 64 | 99.7¢ | $64 | — |
| MarketCat0xb807…99cb | Yes | 25,000 | 0.7¢ | $62 | — |
| 0xcb01…7dfb | Yes | 23,365 | 1.3¢ | $58 | Positive+$1.96 per $100 · 6,567 bets |
| Wizzar610x43dd…5bc1 | Yes | 22,594 | 0.7¢ | $56 | New14 settled bets |
| pmorse0xeafe…3b59 | No | 56 | 98.5¢ | $56 | — |
| 71miwk0x5b0e…6ea6 | Yes | 21,700 | 1.6¢ | $54 | New0 settled bets |
| laiwo0x9840…cc53 | No | 50 | 99.3¢ | $50 | — |
| guanda19900x38fd…c6bb | No | 50 | 89.1¢ | $50 | Losing−$1.95 per $100 · 430 bets |
| 0xEC6AD6AEAA93940x9e83…9394 | No | 50 | 75.0¢ | $50 | Positive+$19.12 per $100 · 4,935 bets |
| tttvvttt0xb900…3818 | No | 49 | 98.9¢ | $48 | — |
| Nisbouse0x0be7…95f7 | Yes | 18,506 | 0.6¢ | $46 | New6 settled bets |
| Asteflo95000xf572…6f37 | Yes | 17,489 | 3.7¢ | $44 | — |
| leegunner0xe542…0a37 | Yes | 17,368 | 12.1¢ | $43 | Proven+$8.57 per $100 · 7,249 bets |
| dede17120x6531…8127 | Yes | 14,330 | 1.5¢ | $36 | New0 settled bets |
| heixiongok0x9fa1…3fd8 | No | 36 | 98.4¢ | $36 | — |
| claudemooney0x6a3b…ed7d | Yes | 13,179 | 1.7¢ | $33 | New5 settled bets |
| numbernine0xe7fd…89de | Yes | 13,000 | 21.9¢ | $32 | Losing−$2.93 per $100 · 157 bets |
| vinisw0xa8ac…2613 | Yes | 12,986 | 1.9¢ | $32 | New54 settled bets |
| 0x8829…06e0 | Yes | 12,712 | 1.8¢ | $32 | — |
| DecryptDark0x89a3…54f3 | Yes | 12,093 | 0.8¢ | $30 | — |
| iyuhbnj0x5f90…acff | No | 30 | 98.9¢ | $30 | Losing−$8.14 per $100 · 207 bets |
| Zaza5550xa9c0…a2b5 | Yes | 11,757 | 1.8¢ | $29 | — |
| 0x48c1…39f7 | Yes | 11,738 | 1.0¢ | $29 | New4 settled bets |
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | Yes | 11,632 | 0.6¢ | $29 | Proven+$12.04 per $100 · 581 bets |
| Basil-5650x3473…adbe | No | 28 | 98.5¢ | $28 | New9 settled bets |
| kcosisi0xb52e…ffec | No | 28 | 98.7¢ | $28 | — |
| 0x5cad…34a3 | No | 28 | 97.7¢ | $28 | New28 settled bets |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 11,110 | 1.2¢ | $28 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| BeastyVisions0xb504…65fc | Yes | 10,868 | 1.9¢ | $27 | — |
| Fbm0x3887…7f5b | Yes | 10,271 | 2.5¢ | $26 | New89 settled bets |
| koninginhetuniverse0xa579…aad0 | Yes | 10,196 | 0.4¢ | $25 | Break-even+$0.28 per $100 · 2,329 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 10,064 | 1.9¢ | $25 | Proven+$3.99 per $100 · 66,068 bets |
| contaabener0xd5a6…f76d | Yes | 9,636 | 0.8¢ | $24 | — |
| Abigail21690x6165…b4f3 | No | 22 | 99.7¢ | $22 | New81 settled bets |
| nickotw0xba30…9c76 | No | 21 | 97.5¢ | $21 | — |
| Doodleee110xb8ca…c89c | Yes | 8,431 | 0.5¢ | $21 | — |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | No | 21 | 99.7¢ | $21 | Positive+$8.02 per $100 · 18,923 bets |
| Trader1200x3de6…e560 | Yes | 8,112 | 0.9¢ | $20 | Losing−$4.33 per $100 · 27,167 bets |
| wanwan30x0c7f…d00a | No | 20 | 96.6¢ | $20 | New64 settled bets |
| chx020xfd45…6e52 | No | 20 | 99.4¢ | $20 | — |
| LilLoose0xe87f…f1e6 | Yes | 7,721 | 1.3¢ | $19 | Losing−$2.43 per $100 · 627 bets |
| rsabahor0xfb74…ae29 | No | 19 | 82.4¢ | $19 | — |
| JohnJayson0xd054…b429 | Yes | 7,400 | 1.5¢ | $19 | — |
| steverichie0xc838…1263 | No | 18 | 76.4¢ | $18 | — |
| Phosfo0x30ce…3934 | Yes | 7,323 | 1.6¢ | $18 | New1 settled bet |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 7,297 | 1.2¢ | $18 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,048 bets |
| 0x1222…323d | Yes | 6,875 | 1.7¢ | $17 | New9 settled bets |
| Lexington0xdebb…eedb | Yes | 6,847 | 1.1¢ | $17 | Proven+$2.85 per $100 · 8,308 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 6,388 | 1.1¢ | $16 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,309 bets |
| Darknight750xb941…3647 | Yes | 6,250 | 0.8¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x7fe6…abee | No | 16 | 99.7¢ | $16 | New84 settled bets |
| 0xb05d…dcdc | Yes | 6,153 | 0.7¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xa574…ae93 | No | 15 | 97.5¢ | $15 | — |
| 19220xd604…cb5f | Yes | 6,056 | 9.7¢ | $15 | Positive+$2.59 per $100 · 3,257 bets |
| Dazwee0xc631…c891 | No | 15 | 73.0¢ | $15 | — |
| Pandou0x30a6…4bd3 | Yes | 5,829 | 1.8¢ | $15 | Losing−$28.31 per $100 · 102 bets |
| JustWade0x4753…41ad | Yes | 5,800 | 1.8¢ | $15 | Losing−$1.57 per $100 · 143 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 5,703 | 1.5¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| RaphCrypto0x1873…37b6 | Yes | 5,475 | 0.3¢ | $14 | Proven+$11.10 per $100 · 623 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.