Market · 4 of 19 outcomes
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
7 more outcomes in this event.
These 19 outcomes add up to 101.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
12 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 74,010 | 93.8¢ | $72.5K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 776 bets |
| DonaldinhoTrumpito0x7523…4c4c | No | 50,000 | 98.0¢ | $49K | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| AZwater0x8245…ebed | No | 49,096 | 97.6¢ | $48.1K | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 5,681 bets |
| Parz1vaI0xb100…6461 | No | 13,858 | 91.1¢ | $13.6K | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 6,933 bets |
| koriander0xbeca…a1b7 | No | 12,793 | 90.2¢ | $12.5K | — |
| Momo630x09be…9c32 | No | 12,075 | 93.3¢ | $11.8K | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 565 bets |