Market · 9 of 19 outcomes
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
7 more outcomes in this event.
These 19 outcomes add up to 101.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 2,008 | 99.9¢ | $2K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,860 bets |
| 0x54cb…1c44 | Yes | 202,276 | 0.1¢ | $303 | — |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | Yes | 125,404 | 0.2¢ | $188 | Positive+$6.53 per $100 · 7,295 bets |
| testhaven0x18b2…24ef | Yes | 102,611 | 0.3¢ | $154 | — |
| debased0x24c8…23e1 | Yes | 93,718 | 0.3¢ | $141 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 7,227 bets |
| fqweqfq0xf6a3…1259 | No | 103 | 99.9¢ | $103 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.