Market · 10 of 19 outcomes
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:08 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 2,008 | 99.9¢ | $2K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| 0x54cb…1c44 | Yes | 206,245 | 0.1¢ | $309 | — |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | Yes | 125,404 | 0.2¢ | $188 | Positive+$6.46 per $100 · 7,356 bets |
| testhaven0x18b2…24ef | Yes | 102,611 | 0.3¢ | $154 | — |
| debased0x24c8…23e1 | Yes | 93,718 | 0.3¢ | $141 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 7,227 bets |
| fqweqfq0xf6a3…1259 | No | 103 | 99.9¢ | $103 | — |
| cxvzvxcz0xbad8…c5c3 | No | 96 | 99.8¢ | $96 | — |
| vsddfsf0x3e15…1afb | No | 96 | 99.9¢ | $96 | — |
| wqwedfa0x52ba…7212 | No | 95 | 99.9¢ | $95 | — |
| cawdca0xd935…6029 | No | 92 | 99.9¢ | $92 | — |
| casccs0x5440…369e | No | 91 | 99.9¢ | $91 | — |
| caawea0xc29c…3851 | No | 90 | 99.9¢ | $90 | — |
| vasdafaew0xedd7…4e85 | No | 89 | 99.9¢ | $89 | — |
| cdawacw0x4899…9db1 | No | 88 | 99.9¢ | $88 | — |
| koninginhetuniverse0xa579…aad0 | Yes | 55,578 | 0.1¢ | $83 | Break-even+$0.28 per $100 · 2,326 bets |
| amy070x493e…75e6 | No | 76 | 99.9¢ | $76 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 45,408 | 0.4¢ | $68 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c | Yes | 36,728 | 0.5¢ | $55 | Proven+$4.09 per $100 · 1,071 bets |
| MarketCat0xb807…99cb | Yes | 35,000 | 0.3¢ | $52 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 31,000 | 0.1¢ | $46 | Positive+$12.16 per $100 · 3,927 bets |
| ab77777770xa8bb…e40f | Yes | 30,596 | 0.3¢ | $46 | — |
| DonationsReceiver0x8476…5418 | Yes | 29,998 | 0.2¢ | $45 | Positive+$1.56 per $100 · 483 bets |
| jenniferbarrera0x3954…c892 | No | 45 | 99.9¢ | $45 | — |
| Ghhdhhdjjdjdjd0xb7c7…1b21 | Yes | 26,339 | 0.1¢ | $40 | — |
| Joar.sorli0x6482…385a | Yes | 25,000 | 0.2¢ | $38 | — |
| 0x998b…db96 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.1¢ | $37 | — |
| AbdiXoog0x1886…35c1 | Yes | 22,000 | 0.5¢ | $33 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 21,160 | 1.1¢ | $32 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,087 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 20,520 | 0.5¢ | $31 | Losing−$9.18 per $100 · 190,902+ bets · updating |
| leegunner0xe542…0a37 | Yes | 20,040 | 0.7¢ | $30 | Proven+$8.60 per $100 · 7,245 bets |
| blyat2550x5e9a…d183 | Yes | 20,000 | 0.5¢ | $30 | New11 settled bets |
| sillysausage0xb9df…05b8 | Yes | 16,667 | 0.3¢ | $25 | — |
| huiy8880x08ff…87ca | No | 22 | 99.9¢ | $22 | — |
| 81570x0f43…eb97 | No | 20 | 99.8¢ | $20 | — |
| cuuc0xbd0c…2c5a | No | 20 | 99.6¢ | $20 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 12,433 | 1.0¢ | $19 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,033 bets |
| 0x7011…f535 | Yes | 12,054 | 0.5¢ | $18 | — |
| Christina89190x1452…994a | No | 18 | 99.9¢ | $18 | — |
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | Yes | 11,632 | 0.6¢ | $17 | Proven+$12.11 per $100 · 580 bets |
| tescat0xbe7c…8356 | Yes | 11,460 | 0.4¢ | $17 | — |
| 0x0926…4624 | Yes | 11,365 | 0.2¢ | $17 | — |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 11,110 | 1.2¢ | $17 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 10,600 | 1.3¢ | $16 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| Sienna4450xfb48…3369 | No | 16 | 99.9¢ | $16 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 10,338 | 1.1¢ | $16 | Positive+$3.68 per $100 · 14,155 bets |
| ubergoy0x7072…69ac | Yes | 10,263 | 0.3¢ | $15 | — |
| cryplor0x7b17…51b1 | Yes | 10,167 | 0.3¢ | $15 | Losing−$26.02 per $100 · 438 bets |
| 0x2eae…a25f | Yes | 10,000 | 0.2¢ | $15 | — |
| electionplayer0x5fe7…44a2 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.5¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x8829…06e0 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.5¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xd008…135d | Yes | 10,000 | 3.1¢ | $15 | — |
| R0ont0x7744…d8d6 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.3¢ | $15 | — |
| sgeleznov0x047f…79e9 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $15 | — |
| dybas0x7721…e537 | Yes | 9,830 | 0.3¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xb014…bd18 | No | 15 | 96.5¢ | $14 | New19 settled bets |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | 9,335 | 0.1¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
| Brittany91230xa192…7b6d | No | 14 | 99.9¢ | $14 | — |
| Abigail71810x6af6…22ee | No | 13 | 99.9¢ | $13 | — |
| Diane76020x43b4…0706 | No | 12 | 99.9¢ | $12 | — |
| ziaO0xbd42…10b7 | No | 12 | 99.3¢ | $12 | — |
| Lexington0xdebb…eedb | Yes | 7,937 | 1.1¢ | $12 | Proven+$2.90 per $100 · 8,190 bets |
| Isabel38830x63b5…a40e | No | 12 | 99.9¢ | $12 | — |
| Timothy84020x5503…8346 | No | 11 | 99.9¢ | $11 | — |
| Nathan81140xff44…e322 | No | 11 | 99.9¢ | $11 | — |
| Richard59560xf1bb…63c0 | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xa3f0…cf6d | Yes | 6,790 | 0.2¢ | $10 | — |
| matrixisrealfosho0x1201…924a | No | 10 | 98.8¢ | $10 | — |
| Thibaw0x2315…39b1 | No | 10 | 88.0¢ | $10 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 6,389 | 1.1¢ | $10 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| Gerroepapi0x54d2…de22 | Yes | 6,122 | 0.4¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x792d…af4d | No | 9 | 99.8¢ | $9 | — |
| simplymoney0x9d49…baad | Yes | 5,858 | 0.5¢ | $9 | — |
| surfandturf0x9f2f…2ca8 | Yes | 5,630 | 0.4¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 697 bets |
| 0x4715…6efb | Yes | 5,598 | 0.5¢ | $8 | — |
| Lucy48330x7bf6…8948 | No | 8 | 99.9¢ | $8 | — |
| Alyssa21740xcc1c…64a1 | No | 8 | 99.9¢ | $8 | — |
| Rachel67660x0899…a239 | No | 8 | 99.9¢ | $8 | — |
| Noah81710x32dd…4f52 | No | 8 | 99.9¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xa80d…d09f | Yes | 5,000 | 0.3¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x01e8…79dc | Yes | 5,000 | 0.3¢ | $8 | — |
| Olailien0x3915…9169 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.2¢ | $8 | — |
| CoffeeDespiser0x629c…6c01 | Yes | 5,000 | 1.1¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 2,080 bets |
| Mczd0x6fff…4177 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.1¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x8af9…ea03 | No | 7 | 99.9¢ | $7 | — |
| Zachary24450x414d…5626 | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| dalaji0x8834…4688 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| constantinskuratovbelsky0x0dfe…de4d | No | 5 | 94.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x82a5…674e | No | 5 | 93.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Summer8970xe3cb…eadf | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| SethShelton4660x4dc5…162d | No | 4 | 99.7¢ | $4 | — |
| MalcolmWoods3850x73f0…4136 | No | 4 | 99.7¢ | $4 | — |
| Harry45610xf0e6…ce7c | No | 4 | 99.7¢ | $4 | — |
| Aubrey20900xf445…3531 | No | 4 | 99.9¢ | $4 | — |
| repsol0x71af…c057 | No | 4 | 99.9¢ | $4 | — |
| CKVV0x56e7…1628 | No | 4 | 94.0¢ | $4 | — |
| LucilleKaufman5610xb4d5…1c4c | No | 4 | 99.7¢ | $4 | — |
| Frank6480x5a74…5647 | No | 4 | 99.8¢ | $4 | — |
| KirstenKnight5530xf7b6…7e1d | No | 3 | 99.7¢ | $3 | — |
| MaureenBenson2820x2e36…fe17 | No | 3 | 99.7¢ | $3 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.