Market · 10 of 19 outcomes
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nik-0x9e80…f694 | No | 2,671 | 99.2¢ | $2.67K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 2,529 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 826 | 99.9¢ | $825 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,912 bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | No | 258 | 99.8¢ | $257 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,981 bets |
| Phovion0x9763…3d11 | Yes | 126,765 | 0.2¢ | $190 | — |
| trader-05ddbe2e0x05dd…305c | No | 183 | 99.2¢ | $183 | Break-even−$0.55 per $100 · 19,460 bets |
| ubergoy0x7072…69ac | Yes | 104,771 | 0.5¢ | $157 | — |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 95,277 | 1.1¢ | $143 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| 0xefba…df6a | No | 125 | 99.8¢ | $125 | — |
| 0x2726…3a6f | No | 115 | 99.8¢ | $115 | — |
| leegunner0xe542…0a37 | Yes | 76,066 | 1.1¢ | $114 | Proven+$8.60 per $100 · 7,245 bets |
| 0x13d3…6659 | No | 114 | 99.8¢ | $114 | — |
| 0x66e8…5679 | No | 113 | 99.8¢ | $112 | — |
| vzvsdf0x2146…4279 | No | 99 | 99.5¢ | $99 | — |
| cadsvds0xcee1…a27c | No | 95 | 99.9¢ | $95 | — |
| cdsacas0x44de…e77f | No | 94 | 99.5¢ | $94 | — |
| qweracz0xdf99…639d | No | 93 | 99.6¢ | $93 | — |
| qrwefcasda0x190c…08c0 | No | 93 | 99.9¢ | $93 | — |
| puiemsd0x0659…2995 | Yes | 60,000 | 0.2¢ | $90 | New50 settled bets |
| qtrqfa0x03a9…9b52 | No | 89 | 99.9¢ | $89 | — |
| gibsmedats0x9842…132b | Yes | 57,816 | 0.6¢ | $87 | — |
| koninginhetuniverse0xa579…aad0 | Yes | 57,477 | 0.3¢ | $86 | Break-even+$0.28 per $100 · 2,326 bets |
| cryplor0x7b17…51b1 | Yes | 56,404 | 1.2¢ | $85 | Losing−$26.02 per $100 · 438 bets |
| qwqxsax0xd8e6…b2b5 | No | 84 | 99.6¢ | $84 | — |
| gdsaca0xeba5…6ff7 | No | 80 | 99.5¢ | $80 | — |
| KingMeeyok0xad88…662d | Yes | 47,246 | 0.1¢ | $71 | — |
| 0xee19…555e | Yes | 44,644 | 1.3¢ | $67 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 768 bets |
| yupiiiiiiiii0x44a1…bd21 | Yes | 37,643 | 0.6¢ | $56 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 3,947 bets |
| BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c | Yes | 36,728 | 0.5¢ | $55 | Proven+$3.66 per $100 · 1,063 bets |
| 0x9412…05d5 | No | 54 | 98.5¢ | $54 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 33,723 | 1.1¢ | $51 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,851 bets |
| mingnianhao0x2058…72b1 | No | 51 | 99.0¢ | $50 | — |
| davistany0x7429…247c | No | 50 | 99.4¢ | $50 | — |
| KennedyRea997990xedff…b635 | No | 50 | 99.5¢ | $50 | — |
| 0x998b…db96 | Yes | 30,418 | 0.1¢ | $46 | — |
| P-J0xd498…80ae | Yes | 30,001 | 0.3¢ | $45 | — |
| Hjklm0xff4b…d019 | Yes | 29,885 | 0.8¢ | $45 | Positive+$4.15 per $100 · 11,945 bets |
| Macaranalalal0x7e43…c607 | Yes | 19,308 | 0.3¢ | $29 | — |
| milkthedip0x4eee…5841 | Yes | 18,546 | 0.1¢ | $28 | Proven+$2.42 per $100 · 406 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 18,328 | 1.0¢ | $27 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| dede17120x6531…8127 | Yes | 18,182 | 1.2¢ | $27 | — |
| agentgabena0x6ce6…f01a | No | 25 | 99.9¢ | $25 | — |
| ggwp1337120xe856…5236 | No | 25 | 99.9¢ | $25 | — |
| pashaskvortsov0xa1a6…df8e | No | 24 | 99.9¢ | $24 | — |
| kkrll130x7d95…e40c | Yes | 16,150 | 0.2¢ | $24 | — |
| bifrsto0x0dd5…3dfa | No | 24 | 99.9¢ | $24 | — |
| spyr00x6cff…45ac | Yes | 16,000 | 0.9¢ | $24 | Positive+$2.00 per $100 · 339 bets |
| hoakim220xd9ad…40e5 | No | 24 | 99.9¢ | $24 | — |
| FxnEdge0x2956…d31b | Yes | 15,688 | 0.7¢ | $24 | Positive+$3.36 per $100 · 686 bets |
| jericho30xfdb9…52f2 | No | 23 | 99.9¢ | $23 | — |
| dan177rrff30xecf7…23c4 | No | 23 | 99.9¢ | $23 | — |
| feldrinson0x5dc0…0c35 | No | 23 | 99.9¢ | $23 | — |
| hilcrest90xb7e9…2097 | No | 23 | 99.9¢ | $23 | — |
| Mximus0x7e65…3b5c | Yes | 15,000 | 0.2¢ | $23 | New48 settled bets |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | Yes | 15,000 | 0.2¢ | $22 | Proven+$8.66 per $100 · 548 bets |
| betking13370xdaff…f1fc | No | 23 | 99.9¢ | $22 | — |
| ynhub0x0054…110e | No | 22 | 99.9¢ | $22 | — |
| mrsi240x3ac2…cee9 | No | 21 | 99.9¢ | $21 | — |
| 29Exigo0x79cc…3258 | No | 21 | 99.9¢ | $21 | — |
| couragedog0x6009…958d | No | 21 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| 0x603d…f3f2 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| hairlake0xee45…3900 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| 81570x0f43…eb97 | No | 20 | 99.4¢ | $20 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 13,386 | 1.1¢ | $20 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 100,872 bets |
| hilv9enr0xa398…a544 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| Frenonski0xf784…ab48 | No | 20 | 98.1¢ | $20 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 1,570 bets |
| f8j38mr0x8425…168a | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| blueridge27080x79c2…23ff | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| potuzhniy13370xf3c4…77c7 | No | 19 | 99.9¢ | $19 | — |
| trex1vol0xb403…33ac | No | 19 | 99.9¢ | $19 | — |
| ballmath0x294a…805e | No | 19 | 99.9¢ | $19 | — |
| wex2hill0xf1ab…dd53 | No | 19 | 99.9¢ | $19 | — |
| net18f0xdb49…2fa3 | No | 19 | 99.9¢ | $19 | — |
| dokalover0xf2f4…7b5b | No | 19 | 99.9¢ | $19 | — |
| voodosh0xe3bc…9a9c | No | 19 | 99.9¢ | $19 | — |
| colepalm0xc3b3…a47a | No | 19 | 99.9¢ | $19 | — |
| anime330x6194…4570 | No | 19 | 99.9¢ | $19 | — |
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | Yes | 11,632 | 0.6¢ | $17 | Proven+$12.11 per $100 · 580 bets |
| vart.130x16ea…b28b | Yes | 11,328 | 0.5¢ | $17 | — |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 11,110 | 1.2¢ | $17 | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 887 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 10,859 | 1.0¢ | $16 | Positive+$4.02 per $100 · 58,748+ bets · updating |
| gggkj0xb875…f2dd | Yes | 10,675 | 1.5¢ | $16 | — |
| SARKAN0xa7ac…ba39 | Yes | 10,563 | 1.9¢ | $16 | — |
| Bageb0x042a…b153 | Yes | 10,500 | 0.4¢ | $16 | — |
| 0xc9c8…44fb | Yes | 10,000 | 0.2¢ | $15 | Losing−$2.18 per $100 · 1,108 bets |
| Lexington0xdebb…eedb | Yes | 9,537 | 1.0¢ | $14 | Proven+$2.90 per $100 · 8,190 bets |
| Roustam0x6ca8…af22 | Yes | 9,500 | 0.2¢ | $14 | — |
| Trader1200x3de6…e560 | Yes | 8,466 | 0.3¢ | $13 | Losing−$4.32 per $100 · 27,047 bets |
| Jeysonderulo0x5332…adc1 | Yes | 8,289 | 2.7¢ | $12 | — |
| akranalomoor19980x52e5…237d | Yes | 8,026 | 0.3¢ | $12 | New5 settled bets |
| 0x6dc5…84c1 | Yes | 7,670 | 1.4¢ | $12 | — |
| crypto-basenji0x72f7…92f7 | Yes | 7,500 | 1.0¢ | $11 | Proven+$3.15 per $100 · 460 bets |
| RibeyeStack0xdb8d…aa15 | Yes | 6,945 | 1.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Javshani0xd311…e970 | Yes | 6,429 | 1.5¢ | $10 | — |
| claudemooney0x6a3b…ed7d | Yes | 6,421 | 1.5¢ | $10 | New5 settled bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 5,882 | 1.4¢ | $9 | Losing−$5.82 per $100 · 84,614+ bets · updating |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 5,809 | 1.1¢ | $9 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| fedorovPVO0x93a0…74de | Yes | 5,718 | 1.4¢ | $9 | Losing−$1.49 per $100 · 443 bets |
| IwaSperm000x78bd…6f69 | Yes | 5,605 | 1.1¢ | $8 | New98 settled bets |
| marchettamaker0xfaeb…e98e | Yes | 5,129 | 0.9¢ | $8 | New34 settled bets |
| futuretbilisi0x0b99…75a7 | Yes | 5,127 | 0.9¢ | $8 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.