Market · 14 of 19 outcomes
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | No | 1,726 | 96.0¢ | $1.73K | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| shmuel.0xa583…b44b | No | 440 | 92.5¢ | $440 | — |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 402,930 | 0.1¢ | $201 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,769 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 151,800 | 1.3¢ | $76 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | Yes | 134,380 | 0.3¢ | $67 | Positive+$6.46 per $100 · 7,356 bets |
| kneelbeforetheking0xeb34…7268 | Yes | 89,957 | 1.3¢ | $45 | Positive+$64.56 per $100 · 592 bets |
| HOG9930xcbba…dbff | Yes | 58,999 | 0.6¢ | $29 | Positive+$5.35 per $100 · 1,760 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 52,265 | 1.1¢ | $26 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,851 bets |
| 0xb05d…dcdc | Yes | 50,000 | 0.1¢ | $25 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 49,281 | 1.1¢ | $25 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 100,872 bets |
| luminae0x9f3e…1edf | No | 20 | 99.1¢ | $20 | — |
| BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c | Yes | 36,728 | 0.5¢ | $18 | Proven+$3.66 per $100 · 1,063 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 31,834 | 1.1¢ | $16 | Positive+$5.59 per $100 · 87,137 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 28,153 | 1.1¢ | $14 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 27,261 | 1.2¢ | $14 | Losing−$1.19 per $100 · 86,515+ bets · updating |
| 0x1e18…0782 | No | 13 | 99.8¢ | $13 | — |
| Ruby47000xbd63…a019 | No | 13 | 99.9¢ | $13 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 24,112 | 1.1¢ | $12 | Positive+$3.68 per $100 · 14,155 bets |
| dede17120x6531…8127 | Yes | 22,980 | 0.2¢ | $11 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 21,751 | 1.1¢ | $11 | Positive+$8.08 per $100 · 29,939+ bets · updating |
| 0xe9f3…c28d | No | 11 | 92.9¢ | $11 | — |
| Chengcheng10xb267…e784 | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | — |
| MarketCat0xb807…99cb | Yes | 20,000 | 0.1¢ | $10 | — |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 17,661 | 1.1¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,981 bets |
| ElijahPowers4510x53e8…41da | No | 8 | 99.9¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x7ea0…fece | No | 7 | 99.9¢ | $7 | — |
| alex200110x4868…a1c1 | Yes | 13,773 | 1.1¢ | $7 | Positive+$7.22 per $100 · 20,527 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 12,325 | 1.1¢ | $6 | Positive+$4.02 per $100 · 58,748+ bets · updating |
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | Yes | 11,632 | 0.6¢ | $6 | Proven+$12.11 per $100 · 580 bets |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | Yes | 11,158 | 1.1¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.56 per $100 · 9,359 bets |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 11,110 | 1.2¢ | $6 | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 887 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 10,889 | 1.1¢ | $5 | Positive+$7.27 per $100 · 29,929+ bets · updating |
| Mijdel0xccbf…dce5 | No | 5 | 97.2¢ | $5 | — |
| Carter74860x14da…8778 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| CodyGoodman8940x6ad1…86f6 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 9,487 | 1.1¢ | $5 | Positive+$7.92 per $100 · 18,787 bets |
| futuretbilisi0x0b99…75a7 | Yes | 9,070 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| forgotmydinner0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | 8,993 | 1.3¢ | $4 | Positive+$14.11 per $100 · 340 bets |
| Lexington0xdebb…eedb | Yes | 7,937 | 1.1¢ | $4 | Proven+$2.90 per $100 · 8,190 bets |
| Anthony62410xeac2…6195 | No | 4 | 99.9¢ | $4 | — |
| JoelGriffith6190x30fd…6ff6 | No | 4 | 99.9¢ | $4 | — |
| CaitlinGreen2330x284e…bf1c | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| leegunner0xe542…0a37 | Yes | 6,417 | 3.4¢ | $3 | Proven+$8.60 per $100 · 7,245 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 6,381 | 1.1¢ | $3 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| 0x4163…5343 | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| SallyHampton7380xdfef…014a | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| PatriciaLopez4470xa5a4…ac56 | No | 3 | 0.0¢ | $3 | — |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 5,622 | 1.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$10.52 per $100 · 10,908 bets |
| LaurenMcGee3100x9e6e…82e7 | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| Carolyn77760xd23b…f70d | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| SPLPB0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | 5,572 | 1.1¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.97 per $100 · 5,635 bets |
| Barbara73400x0171…4a5d | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| debased0x24c8…23e1 | Yes | 5,125 | 1.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 7,227 bets |
| arjennnnn0x24de…83cb | Yes | 5,000 | 1.3¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.29 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| 0xcd23…cad2 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.2¢ | $3 | — |
| CoffeeDespiser0x629c…6c01 | Yes | 5,000 | 1.1¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 2,080 bets |
| norrisfan0xe72b…b0a0 | Yes | 4,800 | 1.1¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 1,296 bets |
| 0x3a59…a364 | Yes | 4,335 | 2.4¢ | $2 | — |
| RaphCrypto0x1873…37b6 | Yes | 4,018 | 3.8¢ | $2 | Proven+$11.10 per $100 · 622 bets |
| Michael2340x8b30…3f4b | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Hjklm0xff4b…d019 | Yes | 3,799 | 0.6¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.15 per $100 · 11,945 bets |
| alwayslatetotheparty0xb687…aee5 | Yes | 3,776 | 1.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$79.22 per $100 · 1,617 bets |
| CarlFisher4120xdcf1…66b1 | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 3,240 | 1.1¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| Vincent76710x8e71…cbb3 | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Baddie0xc1ff…25f1 | Yes | 2,950 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 2,671 | 1.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | Yes | 2,575 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 1,687 bets |
| Goricasual0xca88…066b | Yes | 2,500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| P1kaso0x4aef…9337 | Yes | 2,331 | 1.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 3,744 bets |
| sciuboi0xd6b6…342b | Yes | 2,135 | 1.1¢ | $1 | Proven+$8.59 per $100 · 584 bets |
| thfdd0x6d5c…5878 | No | 1 | 96.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Abigail4680x28c4…adfb | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Beverly24950x664a…6bbe | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x78b3…6dda | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xad99…dbab | Yes | 2,000 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Helior19930x8bf3…6077 | Yes | 1,999 | 8.2¢ | $1 | — |
| haveagoodday0xae2a…384d | Yes | 1,987 | 1.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 12,103 bets |
| barabulka1190xa6ad…f9fc | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 1,297 | 1.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 22,145 bets |
| god837438940xe040…824f | Yes | 1,156 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| dingidongi00090xeb58…9843 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1f85…7b02 | Yes | 644 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| hklcrypt0x7449…c05e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x72e0…0b96 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| AIDROPP0x6f2a…9551 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | 134 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 30,816+ bets · updating |
| 0x3317…76b4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| influenz.eth0xe8dd…ec86 | No | 0 | 95.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 29,730+ bets · updating |
| 0xa158…1c1b | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Laurentdepau0x38ab…ab66 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Colala0x9cb3…1367 | No | 0 | 87.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 31,628 bets |
| jeanmermier0x1e63…7267 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa996…34b5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x01d2…c603 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8220…92a5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0c8a…23d0 | No | 0 | 88.0¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 2 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.