Market · 42 of 53 outcomes
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
41 more outcomes in this event.
These 53 outcomes add up to 93.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $63.9M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| gloriafoster0x5d18…4972 | Yes | 857,217 | 0.6¢ | $429 | Losing−$7.65 per $100 · 426 bets |
| risk-manager0xa61e…0abd | Yes | 398,456 | 0.6¢ | $199 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,055 bets |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 297,764 | 0.5¢ | $149 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| manuelvalenzuela0x0449…ba9f | No | 89 | 99.8¢ | $89 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 172,000 | 0.3¢ | $86 | Positive+$12.21 per $100 · 3,929 bets |
| melissaporter0x5e33…15d0 | No | 74 | 99.8¢ | $74 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 75 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.