Market · 42 of 53 outcomes
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:55 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.6M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| gloriafoster0x5d18…4972 | Yes | 857,217 | 0.6¢ | $429 | Losing−$7.65 per $100 · 426 bets |
| risk-manager0xa61e…0abd | Yes | 398,456 | 0.6¢ | $199 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,055 bets |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 297,764 | 0.5¢ | $149 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| manuelvalenzuela0x0449…ba9f | No | 89 | 99.8¢ | $89 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 172,000 | 0.3¢ | $86 | Positive+$12.21 per $100 · 3,929 bets |
| melissaporter0x5e33…15d0 | No | 74 | 99.8¢ | $74 | — |
| KKchallenge0xfe03…f14f | Yes | 139,866 | 0.5¢ | $70 | Break-even−$0.56 per $100 · 560 bets |
| lamaamal40x1727…a7ec | No | 65 | 99.4¢ | $65 | — |
| 0xa727…1e15 | Yes | 119,000 | 0.1¢ | $60 | — |
| 0x8e81…db81 | Yes | 101,000 | 0.1¢ | $51 | — |
| DonKarabas0x9739…159f | Yes | 100,000 | 0.1¢ | $50 | Positive+$18.10 per $100 · 982 bets |
| Poyo0x3d8a…5724 | No | 50 | 99.3¢ | $50 | Losing−$26.48 per $100 · 347 bets |
| ijkjijkj0xc4d4…a57a | No | 40 | 99.5¢ | $40 | — |
| CarolRoland0x0874…d847 | No | 39 | 99.3¢ | $39 | — |
| CalvinJudson0x6e91…6189 | No | 38 | 99.3¢ | $38 | New47 settled bets |
| 0x7391…b070 | Yes | 76,000 | 0.1¢ | $38 | New52 settled bets |
| AtwoodCotton0xb6cc…0f34 | No | 37 | 99.3¢ | $37 | — |
| akfjsdf0x8005…2fee | No | 36 | 99.3¢ | $36 | — |
| 0x335a…21b9 | No | 31 | 99.4¢ | $31 | — |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 60,000 | 0.6¢ | $30 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| palu660x4a01…88d9 | No | 25 | 99.3¢ | $25 | — |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 50,000 | 0.4¢ | $25 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 48,845 | 0.8¢ | $24 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,296 bets |
| MXVYr0x876f…b213 | No | 24 | 99.3¢ | $24 | — |
| Asperatus0x36a7…1aea | Yes | 46,309 | 0.4¢ | $23 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 735 bets |
| crymoas0x5541…a5e1 | No | 21 | 99.0¢ | $21 | — |
| e01ce0xd6cc…fd9f | No | 20 | 99.3¢ | $20 | — |
| 5512030xaa8e…43fc | No | 20 | 99.4¢ | $20 | — |
| 0x08de…3c5f | No | 20 | 99.5¢ | $20 | — |
| reginald370x286b…4b32 | No | 19 | 99.3¢ | $19 | — |
| ArchBishopSusan0x76c8…0439 | Yes | 35,000 | 0.6¢ | $18 | New65 settled bets |
| MurielJosh0xef58…953e | No | 17 | 99.5¢ | $17 | — |
| 6d2080x5184…9e4f | No | 16 | 99.4¢ | $16 | — |
| nathansui0x1a37…d810 | No | 15 | 99.2¢ | $15 | — |
| jangyu0x872a…add2 | No | 14 | 99.5¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x8ee9…2c29 | No | 14 | 99.4¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x09ff…1e4f | No | 14 | 99.4¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x1353…c8a4 | No | 14 | 99.4¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x51b2…dda5 | No | 13 | 99.4¢ | $13 | — |
| 45121440xd20b…d321 | No | 13 | 99.4¢ | $13 | — |
| KarenaBeauty0x1e17…5db0 | No | 13 | 99.1¢ | $13 | — |
| ElviraJoe0xd2cf…7dec | No | 12 | 99.5¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xf851…066d | No | 12 | 99.4¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xb122…0c52 | No | 12 | 99.4¢ | $12 | — |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 23,168 | 0.6¢ | $12 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,413 bets |
| mmki900x7a01…ec94 | No | 12 | 99.3¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xfbaa…c866 | No | 11 | 99.4¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x7594…0487 | No | 11 | 99.4¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x0d9c…20b5 | No | 11 | 99.4¢ | $11 | — |
| dodo60x4126…fb54 | No | 10 | 99.2¢ | $10 | — |
| GroverHal0xa9ab…5c9b | No | 10 | 99.5¢ | $10 | — |
| billy040x6e87…9e1b | No | 10 | 99.3¢ | $10 | — |
| yvonneharrison0xc7c4…f756 | No | 10 | 99.3¢ | $10 | — |
| etar0x0c15…944d | Yes | 20,000 | 0.2¢ | $10 | Positive+$5.00 per $100 · 169 bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 20,000 | 0.9¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| blackjean0xc65f…f3e5 | No | 10 | 99.3¢ | $10 | — |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 19,220 | 0.7¢ | $10 | New41 settled bets |
| hghth0xddfc…c84e | No | 9 | 99.5¢ | $9 | — |
| Wendels0x8408…0a24 | No | 9 | 99.2¢ | $9 | — |
| 558df0x7170…bc1b | No | 9 | 99.3¢ | $9 | — |
| perezemily0x2c4d…5f70 | No | 9 | 99.3¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x222f…273e | No | 9 | 99.3¢ | $9 | — |
| pwheeler0xcec0…1801 | No | 8 | 99.3¢ | $8 | — |
| patriciasavage0x2362…92e4 | No | 8 | 99.3¢ | $8 | — |
| Wordsworths0x3490…6fc2 | No | 8 | 99.4¢ | $8 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 16,617 | 0.7¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,637 bets |
| 0x078b…21d2 | No | 8 | 99.3¢ | $8 | — |
| oiuyhuyh0xe2b5…1208 | No | 8 | 99.3¢ | $8 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 12,759 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| 6TGYH70x4b5d…6e59 | Yes | 12,729 | 0.8¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x92b3…da50 | Yes | 11,000 | 0.1¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 11,000 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| simalu0xfd23…df9d | Yes | 10,174 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | Yes | 10,120 | 0.7¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,667 bets |
| JumperChip0x193a…35c0 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 1,017 bets |
| 0xEC6AD6AEAA93940x9e83…9394 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.4¢ | $5 | Positive+$19.12 per $100 · 4,935 bets |
| 123uhfwo0xb80c…d862 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| 5478320xee5b…7254 | Yes | 9,308 | 0.8¢ | $5 | — |
| OleBobbyBobBob0xc5b9…9687 | Yes | 9,090 | 0.8¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 9,038 | 0.6¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| pizzaallosqualo0x801b…e036 | Yes | 8,857 | 0.5¢ | $4 | Positive+$9.96 per $100 · 180 bets |
| 0x2f84…2bc4 | Yes | 8,787 | 0.9¢ | $4 | — |
| 2312342s20xac65…bcc5 | Yes | 8,665 | 0.8¢ | $4 | — |
| 6dddact0x5120…2b1d | Yes | 8,443 | 0.8¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 7,500 | 0.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| 67rdfyu80x07db…25b4 | Yes | 6,978 | 0.8¢ | $3 | — |
| f3ita0xe788…736b | Yes | 6,713 | 0.7¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.37 per $100 · 180 bets |
| 565TGG340x3b18…c4fe | Yes | 6,665 | 0.8¢ | $3 | — |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 6,593 | 0.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| 6G543FG0xe2b8…a844 | Yes | 6,521 | 0.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 5SX235SD0xbbd3…6579 | Yes | 6,471 | 0.8¢ | $3 | — |
| kbvhjnm0xfc54…2658 | Yes | 6,011 | 0.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x9ffe…538e | Yes | 6,000 | 0.7¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xa0c8…9e6f | Yes | 6,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| 985320xa323…79b1 | Yes | 5,735 | 0.8¢ | $3 | — |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 5,603 | 0.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,377 bets |
| 0xaf44…0abd | Yes | 5,008 | 0.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x2255…a674 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | Losing−$59.48 per $100 · 230 bets |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.5¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 75 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.