Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 19:41 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 31.4¢ | +0.2 pts |
| $10,000 | 61.5¢ | +30.3 pts |
| $100,000 | 85.8¢ | +54.7 pts |
| $500,000 | 92.1¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 31¢.
About $1.99K can be bought and $2.77K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 31.2¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 19:41 UTC.
US 2026 midterms · 721 events · $33.3M in play