Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 31.9¢ | +0.4 pts |
| $10,000 | 33.4¢ | +2.0 pts |
| $100,000 | 61.8¢ | +30.4 pts |
| $500,000 | 79.5¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 31¢.
About $4.07K can be bought and $5.31K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 31.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 11:57 UTC.
US 2026 midterms · 692 events · $32.4M in play