Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 31.6¢ | +0.3 pts |
| $10,000 | 32.8¢ | +1.6 pts |
| $100,000 | 56.8¢ | +25.6 pts |
| $500,000 | 77.2¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 31¢.
About $5.05K can be bought and $8.88K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 31.3¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 17:01 UTC.
US 2026 midterms · 713 events · $33.3M in play