Market · 2 of 5 outcomes
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
Fed decision · December 2026 · 3 events · $474K in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
10 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9ad5…1811 | No | 11,811 | 79.8¢ | $9.15K | — |
| nigiri990xdc41…dd7e | Yes | 32,217 | 46.9¢ | $7.25K | Losing−$2.81 per $100 · 31,789 bets |
| BlessedSunshine8880x22da…2866 | Yes | 29,810 | 21.6¢ | $6.71K | — |
| truthteller0x30e4…5102 | Yes | 26,997 | 23.8¢ | $6.07K | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 3,480 bets |
| KimJonEn0x8152…bfda | Yes | 19,783 | 30.1¢ | $4.45K | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 1,459 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 10,321 | 35.4¢ | $2.32K | Losing−$5.17 per $100 · 30,004+ bets · updating |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 2,653 | 54.1¢ | $2.06K | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| 0x7726…4aee | Yes | 8,773 | 45.2¢ | $1.97K | Proven+$17.44 per $100 · 324 bets |
| AndreiDmitr0x2e6e…7f53 | Yes | 8,750 | 23.4¢ | $1.97K | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 216 bets |
| HolyMoses70xa4b3…87b8 | Yes | 8,511 | 15.7¢ | $1.92K | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,831 bets |
| sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40 | Yes | 7,830 | 23.9¢ | $1.76K | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 6,321 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 7,278 | 39.7¢ | $1.64K | Losing−$7.34 per $100 · 1,388 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 7,196 | 27.0¢ | $1.62K | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 7,063 | 23.4¢ | $1.59K | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| 0x90bf…99eb | Yes | 6,356 | 24.3¢ | $1.43K | Losing−$14.61 per $100 · 861 bets |
| DooBieZ0xdb40…3612 | Yes | 6,000 | 25.3¢ | $1.35K | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 8,086 bets |
| OnYesYes0xac29…36c7 | Yes | 6,000 | 34.0¢ | $1.35K | New45 settled bets |
| dips.0xc785…4ef2 | Yes | 5,438 | 21.4¢ | $1.22K | Break-even−$0.53 per $100 · 30,440+ bets · updating |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | Yes | 5,378 | 29.0¢ | $1.21K | Losing−$17.24 per $100 · 7,255 bets |
| fanaticoin0x8114…59a8 | Yes | 5,000 | 32.1¢ | $1.13K | — |
| uraw0x8a4c…2c4c | No | 1,429 | 71.0¢ | $1.11K | Positive+$9.98 per $100 · 150 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 1,357 | 78.4¢ | $1.05K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,860 bets |
| 0x72be…9613 | Yes | 4,000 | 24.0¢ | $900 | — |
| bigorders0xc032…fa0f | Yes | 3,762 | 25.9¢ | $846 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 3,724 | 20.0¢ | $838 | Positive+$2.37 per $100 · 57,731+ bets · updating |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | No | 1,072 | 73.8¢ | $831 | Positive+$2.90 per $100 · 12,432 bets |
| 8811120xd426…334a | Yes | 3,642 | 27.2¢ | $819 | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 3,602 | 21.9¢ | $810 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 3,526 | 25.6¢ | $793 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 968 | 77.7¢ | $750 | Losing−$2.94 per $100 · 1,162 bets |
| convictiontrap0x1ad9…7bf6 | Yes | 3,002 | 22.0¢ | $676 | — |
| whig0x40cf…d21d | Yes | 3,000 | 27.2¢ | $675 | Proven+$11.57 per $100 · 1,091 bets |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | No | 853 | 62.5¢ | $661 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 6,243 bets |
| MikeMoore0x5d2f…4adb | Yes | 2,891 | 34.9¢ | $650 | — |
| iknowdaveyang10x0c03…a169 | Yes | 2,200 | 37.2¢ | $495 | — |
| forgetfuldory0xf1e1…6f6f | Yes | 2,197 | 29.0¢ | $494 | New6 settled bets |
| Isengard10x9032…b5c3 | Yes | 2,115 | 27.1¢ | $476 | — |
| debased0x24c8…23e1 | No | 602 | 77.0¢ | $467 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 7,227 bets |
| 0x8b95…19ba | Yes | 2,000 | 25.9¢ | $450 | — |
| TBill10xd52b…5c72 | Yes | 2,000 | 30.0¢ | $450 | Proven+$2.13 per $100 · 561 bets |
| Waiii0x25c6…5145 | Yes | 1,500 | 26.3¢ | $338 | — |
| LA170xf6ea…0a00 | Yes | 1,500 | 25.3¢ | $337 | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 420 bets |
| 0x49fb…3914 | Yes | 1,499 | 33.4¢ | $337 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 1,496 | 20.0¢ | $337 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| Gigachain16220x976a…e8ec | Yes | 1,377 | 42.8¢ | $310 | — |
| Alhemic0x353d…50f0 | Yes | 1,361 | 22.5¢ | $306 | Proven+$3.41 per $100 · 101 bets |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | No | 375 | 71.0¢ | $291 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 21,994 bets |
| Donkov0xbc54…680f | Yes | 1,233 | 24.8¢ | $277 | Proven+$2.18 per $100 · 1,977 bets |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | Yes | 1,172 | 35.6¢ | $264 | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| 1660S.eth0xfc40…56a3 | Yes | 1,100 | 46.2¢ | $248 | — |
| lIllIIl0x6dce…4490 | Yes | 1,000 | 27.0¢ | $225 | — |
| firegold0x1d5f…634d | Yes | 1,000 | 67.0¢ | $225 | Proven+$3.24 per $100 · 667 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 865 | 20.0¢ | $195 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,791 bets |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | Yes | 805 | 37.4¢ | $181 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,118 bets |
| kodema0xd7dd…378e | Yes | 800 | 46.1¢ | $180 | — |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | 751 | 29.2¢ | $169 | Losing−$3.82 per $100 · 22,723 bets |
| puravida0x80a4…22cc | Yes | 749 | 23.0¢ | $169 | Proven+$2.23 per $100 · 2,742 bets |
| Grodan0xaa9f…0df3 | Yes | 742 | 22.4¢ | $167 | Losing−$4.46 per $100 · 408 bets |
| worknplay0x4201…6133 | Yes | 726 | 46.2¢ | $163 | Losing−$55.27 per $100 · 124 bets |
| jowens0x82e1…9e95 | No | 54 | 66.0¢ | $42 | — |
| pattersondiane0xf08e…fe83 | No | 37 | 64.6¢ | $29 | — |
| 0xd819…2d80 | No | 37 | 63.5¢ | $28 | — |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | No | 30 | 72.6¢ | $24 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | No | 30 | 34.1¢ | $23 | — |
| Testingme0x9ebd…5537 | No | 23 | 44.2¢ | $18 | — |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | No | 21 | 74.8¢ | $16 | Proven+$4.05 per $100 · 23,888 bets |
| jayG80xa962…8978 | No | 19 | 77.9¢ | $15 | — |
| kiohssudhhd0xd0a5…3e7f | No | 19 | 77.2¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xedd8…013b | No | 18 | 74.5¢ | $14 | — |
| DontBeScared50xdf3b…880a | Yes | 52 | 27.2¢ | $12 | — |
| russiaxukr0x0632…c985 | Yes | 50 | 47.7¢ | $11 | — |
| macister830xfe46…cb39 | No | 14 | 69.0¢ | $11 | — |
| alexdevbnb0x3c77…6e76 | No | 14 | 71.0¢ | $11 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 12 | 80.8¢ | $9 | Losing−$3.71 per $100 · 4,954 bets |
| hexabyte0x2d33…2c30 | No | 10 | 43.2¢ | $8 | — |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | No | 10 | 77.0¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 6,249 bets |
| asdfsadfddd0x0be6…caa6 | No | 10 | 48.0¢ | $8 | — |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | No | 10 | 34.0¢ | $8 | — |
| asdfasdfasdf340x48c5…10fc | No | 10 | 49.0¢ | $8 | — |
| kk819ddd0x4b58…dd1a | No | 10 | 48.0¢ | $8 | — |
| asdfdd9180x5d3d…8105 | No | 10 | 48.0¢ | $8 | — |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | No | 10 | 76.5¢ | $8 | Proven+$2.83 per $100 · 2,915 bets |
| 67xxabcsdafasdf0x779d…267c | No | 10 | 49.0¢ | $8 | — |
| sdafsafd0x8513…6a53 | No | 10 | 48.0¢ | $8 | — |
| aaab819d0x901e…58f0 | No | 10 | 77.0¢ | $8 | — |
| asdfasdf111120xaf53…ca3b | No | 10 | 48.0¢ | $8 | — |
| dddab110xced1…d7cd | No | 10 | 48.0¢ | $8 | — |
| asdfasdf1110xe2e3…5897 | No | 10 | 48.0¢ | $8 | — |
| asdfasdddd44120xe9cd…be3f | No | 10 | 48.0¢ | $8 | — |
| 8dddj0x78cb…c94e | No | 10 | 80.0¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 3,888 bets |
| shakashi0x6204…2167 | No | 9 | 73.0¢ | $7 | — |
| uthark0xdaa4…2076 | No | 8 | 56.2¢ | $6 | — |
| sebyastiens0xbc62…4f5e | No | 8 | 74.0¢ | $6 | — |
| lxzreaper0x1712…4a0c | No | 7 | 70.1¢ | $6 | — |
| elliot.0xbca7…87f6 | No | 7 | 76.0¢ | $5 | — |
| steverichie0xc838…1263 | No | 7 | 76.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xe600…a907 | No | 6 | 75.9¢ | $4 | — |
| baztheblade0x0dc3…9607 | Yes | 1 | 23.9¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.