Market · 3 of 3 outcomes
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 21:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 5.4¢ | +0.1 pts |
| $10,000 | 5.8¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $100,000 | 20.1¢ | +14.8 pts |
| $500,000 | 28.2¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 5¢.
About $22K can be bought and $29.3K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 5.3¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 21:19 UTC.
99 traders bet this week. 3 bets were $10K or more, and $39.4K of that went on Yes, mostly on Oct 12.
US 2026 midterms · 725 events · $33.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.