Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 6.7¢ | +1.6 pts |
| $10,000 | 12.3¢ | +7.2 pts |
| $100,000 | 52.6¢ | +47.5 pts |
| $500,000 | 61.3¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 5¢.
About $998 can be bought and $701 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 5.1¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 12:16 UTC.
US 2026 midterms · 692 events · $32.4M in play