Market · 2 of 3 outcomes
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 6.7¢ | +0.2 pts |
| $10,000 | 7.1¢ | +0.6 pts |
| $100,000 | 20.0¢ | +13.5 pts |
| $500,000 | 27.1¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 6¢.
About $19.9K can be bought and $35K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 6.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 14:03 UTC.
US 2026 midterms · 692 events · $32.6M in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.