Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 655 events · $32.2M in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 7 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 16 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siddhartha10xc95e…1288 | No | 185,000 | 64.1¢ | $117K | New98 settled bets |
| foodenjoyer0x7b02…4991 | No | 83,945 | 62.9¢ | $53.3K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| lomneivan0x1fee…ed5e | Yes | 119,740 | 38.7¢ | $43.7K | New74 settled bets |
| Arbguy0x53e5…6177 | Yes | 57,486 | 48.2¢ | $21K | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 1,106 bets |
| wan1230xde7b…5f4b | No | 30,187 | 46.0¢ | $19.2K | Proven+$8.03 per $100 · 528 bets |
| yexiaodong3330xf47d…bc27 | Yes | 45,733 | 38.0¢ | $16.7K | New4 settled bets |
| pyoi0x202d…2dcd | Yes | 44,114 | 40.8¢ | $16.1K | Losing−$4.49 per $100 · 101 bets |
| Andylow50xf96d…214b | Yes | 36,239 | 36.8¢ | $13.2K | New1 settled bet |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | No | 20,576 | 46.1¢ | $13.1K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
| WongKimArk0x7bb2…682c | No | 20,000 | 51.5¢ | $12.7K | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 449 bets |
| TeamA0x9ba9…3ce9 | No | 19,853 | 65.9¢ | $12.6K | New1 settled bet |
| BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c | No | 17,208 | 62.0¢ | $10.9K | Proven+$4.09 per $100 · 1,073 bets |
| Loyalty-Crash0x44d9…4c1a | No | 16,115 | 46.7¢ | $10.2K | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 180 bets |
| mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63 | Yes | 26,801 | 55.4¢ | $9.78K | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 40,453 bets |
| smoovster0xfa77…563b | Yes | 25,910 | 46.2¢ | $9.46K | New50 settled bets |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | Yes | 25,796 | 48.3¢ | $9.42K | Losing−$17.35 per $100 · 7,304 bets |
| overfatting0xddea…1ec6 | Yes | 24,000 | 36.9¢ | $8.76K | New3 settled bets |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | Yes | 22,757 | 59.2¢ | $8.31K | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 30,038+ bets · updating |
| cryptoh01der70x1b90…c4f8 | No | 12,895 | 57.2¢ | $8.19K | Proven+$18.65 per $100 · 377 bets |
| 0xc79d…0203 | No | 11,822 | 42.3¢ | $7.51K | New30 settled bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | No | 11,749 | 48.7¢ | $7.46K | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,413 bets |
| nnimrodd0x09bb…f8b1 | No | 11,725 | 58.1¢ | $7.45K | Losing−$3.50 per $100 · 496 bets |
| revanchist0x498a…5e7b | Yes | 20,001 | 43.1¢ | $7.3K | New30 settled bets |
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | Yes | 20,000 | 35.0¢ | $7.3K | Proven+$3.89 per $100 · 729 bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 19,973 | 55.0¢ | $7.29K | New41 settled bets |
| TTdes0x2586…c893 | No | 10,000 | 62.5¢ | $6.35K | Proven+$7.50 per $100 · 1,356 bets |
| taurusjiang0xd686…7806 | Yes | 16,840 | 47.3¢ | $6.15K | New11 settled bets |
| ClauseAI0x8aae…918c | Yes | 16,137 | 38.9¢ | $5.89K | New0 settled bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 16,111 | 36.9¢ | $5.88K | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| carkiller5300xef2f…8b9c | Yes | 15,977 | 61.6¢ | $5.83K | New20 settled bets |
| PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN0xdaef…54e9 | No | 9,133 | 53.0¢ | $5.8K | Proven+$4.89 per $100 · 2,385 bets |
| kidbenjamin0xcf7f…8d1c | Yes | 14,975 | 53.4¢ | $5.47K | New8 settled bets |
| zerosmart0x2755…5016 | No | 8,431 | 47.5¢ | $5.35K | Proven+$75.16 per $100 · 154 bets |
| Parliament0x5e38…a1db | Yes | 14,583 | 49.0¢ | $5.32K | Proven+$13.31 per $100 · 285 bets |
| f0afjr0xb911…0d3e | Yes | 13,513 | 36.9¢ | $4.93K | New0 settled bets |
| SunlineTicker0x4df3…788f | No | 7,696 | 50.0¢ | $4.89K | Positive+$1.93 per $100 · 16,125 bets |
| Krang0xa577…91e3 | Yes | 13,158 | 38.9¢ | $4.8K | Positive+$9.00 per $100 · 152 bets |
| Voland67770xc23e…6499 | No | 7,466 | 65.0¢ | $4.74K | New18 settled bets |
| Geminae.Columbae0x61ea…bbf7 | Yes | 12,100 | 47.9¢ | $4.42K | New98 settled bets |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | Yes | 11,111 | 36.0¢ | $4.06K | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 22,019 bets |
| 0x38cb…9e87 | Yes | 10,000 | 49.0¢ | $3.65K | New0 settled bets |
| JishWa0xf1fc…0ec1 | Yes | 10,000 | 65.0¢ | $3.65K | Losing−$2.20 per $100 · 233 bets |
| Homeless-the-grey0x069a…eaa9 | No | 5,598 | 64.3¢ | $3.55K | Losing−$4.41 per $100 · 119 bets |
| euro-catcher0xc2e5…b3a5 | Yes | 9,711 | 36.9¢ | $3.54K | Losing−$4.50 per $100 · 4,780 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 9,589 | 36.8¢ | $3.5K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,389 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 9,532 | 42.9¢ | $3.48K | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| elkmonkey0xead1…c76a | Yes | 9,294 | 47.0¢ | $3.39K | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 20,455 bets |
| saltricenet0x7b82…8293 | Yes | 9,105 | 55.1¢ | $3.32K | New0 settled bets |
| QinQin0xda89…f7cd | Yes | 9,058 | 66.0¢ | $3.31K | New19 settled bets |
| papa10860x66b8…a065 | Yes | 8,782 | 54.0¢ | $3.21K | New3 settled bets |
| 0xheavy8880xec98…afcd | No | 5,000 | 49.0¢ | $3.17K | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 17,735 bets |
| gettr0x8791…6e5e | Yes | 8,681 | 54.8¢ | $3.17K | New65 settled bets |
| maxrol880xdf68…20d8 | No | 4,560 | 55.9¢ | $2.9K | Positive+$15.59 per $100 · 121 bets |
| Razirback0x92c7…c136 | No | 4,198 | 40.1¢ | $2.67K | Losing−$1.17 per $100 · 4,966 bets |
| 0x5375…aeea | Yes | 7,050 | 53.2¢ | $2.57K | Losing−$5.54 per $100 · 8,517 bets |
| lettuce260xea21…502c | Yes | 7,016 | 37.1¢ | $2.56K | New0 settled bets |
| TradeDeficitArchitect0x477f…19aa | No | 4,000 | 50.0¢ | $2.54K | Proven+$6.37 per $100 · 2,801 bets |
| OrbitSugarFree0x890d…15ac | No | 4,000 | 66.0¢ | $2.54K | New74 settled bets |
| 0xa7b4…b7b9 | Yes | 6,798 | 42.8¢ | $2.48K | New32 settled bets |
| Heskel20xcfee…ffcd | Yes | 6,442 | 37.6¢ | $2.35K | — |
| SSM860x4a1e…86d3 | Yes | 6,329 | 36.9¢ | $2.31K | Losing−$3.24 per $100 · 1,629 bets |
| LR10xad28…1601 | No | 3,450 | 60.8¢ | $2.19K | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| eNakeVets0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | 6,000 | 45.5¢ | $2.19K | Losing−$2.00 per $100 · 1,563 bets |
| thanks4playing0xaa6e…04fe | Yes | 5,798 | 54.0¢ | $2.12K | New9 settled bets |
| SamCrosling0xf935…51ab | Yes | 5,556 | 34.9¢ | $2.03K | New16 settled bets |
| gopfan20xf2f6…5817 | Yes | 5,533 | 49.2¢ | $2.02K | Proven+$5.39 per $100 · 2,338 bets |
| 0x328a…30c9 | Yes | 5,404 | 66.0¢ | $1.97K | Proven+$11.75 per $100 · 192 bets |
| AllByMyseIf0x5188…c804 | No | 3,099 | 60.6¢ | $1.97K | Proven+$4.57 per $100 · 1,559 bets |
| White.Monster0xb27b…17d6 | No | 3,000 | 46.0¢ | $1.91K | Break-even+$0.50 per $100 · 208 bets |
| allenhall0xa872…f2f7 | Yes | 5,000 | 36.9¢ | $1.82K | New4 settled bets |
| horiz0n0x398d…c7c3 | No | 2,446 | 50.0¢ | $1.55K | Losing−$2.07 per $100 · 201 bets |
| AJM960x85b8…6b6a | No | 2,420 | 52.0¢ | $1.54K | Proven+$3.86 per $100 · 468 bets |
| 0x39aa…583c | No | 2,056 | 55.5¢ | $1.31K | Break-even+$0.70 per $100 · 22,695 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 1,897 | 65.0¢ | $1.2K | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
| studentgameer0xbd00…4fc0 | No | 1,670 | 53.0¢ | $1.06K | Break-even−$0.19 per $100 · 382 bets |
| Zzzz870x2117…5c26 | No | 1,604 | 59.1¢ | $1.02K | Losing−$3.46 per $100 · 9,498 bets |
| Pitchforkk0x0a53…7a6f | No | 1,600 | 62.0¢ | $1.02K | Proven+$4.40 per $100 · 878 bets |
| 0x4743…2a0c | No | 1,600 | 62.0¢ | $1.02K | New65 settled bets |
| Pol.10xd3a7…3362 | No | 1,500 | 63.6¢ | $953 | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 301 bets |
| 0x0d62…27e0 | No | 1,500 | 35.0¢ | $952 | Proven+$5.78 per $100 · 301 bets |
| DeezNuggies0x8333…eb93 | No | 1,434 | 44.7¢ | $911 | Losing−$1.24 per $100 · 247 bets |
| LongShot-Louie0xbfbb…dc2b | No | 1,359 | 43.6¢ | $863 | Break-even−$0.39 per $100 · 607 bets |
| SuperPenguin0x149f…7398 | No | 1,142 | 46.8¢ | $725 | New0 settled bets |
| siick0xf9b7…60a4 | No | 1,140 | 51.6¢ | $724 | Proven+$3.60 per $100 · 1,967 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 1,115 | 62.6¢ | $708 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| Te0n20xd950…ad1b | No | 1,000 | 65.0¢ | $635 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 3,908 bets |
| Rebecca-950x5082…049d | No | 1,000 | 51.0¢ | $635 | Positive+$9.18 per $100 · 165 bets |
7 accounts bet both sides equally · 168K shares each side · Show
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