Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 696 events · $32.6M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 16 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb9d8…275a | No | 338,146 | 90.8¢ | $306K | New21 settled bets |
| 0x4488…e319 | No | 200,000 | 90.0¢ | $181K | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 7,574 bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 168,380 | 91.9¢ | $152K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| Tigerofthehood0x9c26…74bc | No | 130,898 | 89.6¢ | $118K | Positive+$1.01 per $100 · 237 bets |
| milkteaboba0xf4c9…f88c | No | 107,721 | 90.0¢ | $97.5K | New20 settled bets |
| ndb10xfea3…d227 | No | 106,686 | 91.0¢ | $96.6K | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 2,396 bets |
| Valen90x162f…798d | No | 101,000 | 87.9¢ | $91.4K | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| hideo0x95bf…e00b | No | 97,166 | 86.1¢ | $87.9K | Proven+$3.41 per $100 · 384 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | No | 87,559 | 83.8¢ | $79.2K | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,415 bets |
| Wickier0x1cc1…b8df | No | 83,644 | 90.0¢ | $75.7K | Proven+$18.22 per $100 · 1,097 bets |
| Andylow50xf96d…214b | Yes | 793,392 | 9.4¢ | $75.4K | New1 settled bet |
| dateandtime0xf3b9…bf18 | No | 51,445 | 92.0¢ | $46.6K | New1 settled bet |
| Erasmus.0xc658…b784 | No | 50,885 | 88.4¢ | $46.1K | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 875 bets |
| 8DDD0x9ba7…00ef | No | 50,000 | 89.6¢ | $45.2K | New43 settled bets |
| GoriIIa0xfffa…864b | No | 43,980 | 85.5¢ | $39.8K | Proven+$2.39 per $100 · 414 bets |
| Arbguy0x53e5…6177 | No | 35,402 | 83.0¢ | $32K | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 1,106 bets |
| FlyingPlaty0x1295…5cfd | No | 34,996 | 91.0¢ | $31.7K | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 2,165 bets |
| Outsid3rTrading0xf1ef…8cd6 | No | 30,000 | 86.0¢ | $27.2K | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 2,138 bets |
| lug0xe0db…f44e | No | 30,000 | 92.1¢ | $27.1K | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 4,515 bets |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 27,807 | 92.4¢ | $25.2K | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,967 bets |
| yen4u0xf0d5…c665 | No | 27,418 | 88.3¢ | $24.8K | Losing−$5.26 per $100 · 1,977 bets |
| mr.ozi0x614d…1546 | No | 25,100 | 91.4¢ | $22.7K | Proven+$4.92 per $100 · 2,289 bets |
| JJo0xc408…4675 | No | 25,000 | 90.0¢ | $22.6K | Positive+$1.02 per $100 · 1,924 bets |
| What.Could.Thing.70xf2d3…dcbd | Yes | 191,113 | 14.1¢ | $18.2K | New8 settled bets |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | No | 20,000 | 92.1¢ | $18.1K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | No | 20,000 | 90.0¢ | $18.1K | Proven+$5.25 per $100 · 3,129 bets |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | No | 20,000 | 91.0¢ | $18.1K | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| gilbert0x91c7…28cc | No | 20,000 | 85.0¢ | $18.1K | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 398 bets |
| foodenjoyer0x7b02…4991 | No | 17,837 | 85.7¢ | $16.1K | Proven+$5.00 per $100 · 149 bets |
| pcb8970xc213…1388 | No | 17,422 | 78.7¢ | $15.8K | New1 settled bet |
| Ed23570xb1ce…ced2 | Yes | 162,119 | 15.3¢ | $15.4K | New3 settled bets |
| zthunderfury0xc682…17bb | No | 16,790 | 92.6¢ | $15.2K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 497 bets |
| cqs0xdfe3…73c4 | No | 16,078 | 77.0¢ | $14.6K | Proven+$3.66 per $100 · 401 bets |
| mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63 | Yes | 150,337 | 18.8¢ | $14.3K | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 40,453 bets |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | No | 15,166 | 91.8¢ | $13.7K | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,670 bets |
| Jellow20x6640…2202 | No | 15,000 | 90.0¢ | $13.6K | Proven+$3.91 per $100 · 575 bets |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | Yes | 137,625 | 16.4¢ | $13.1K | Losing−$17.35 per $100 · 7,305 bets |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | No | 14,146 | 82.9¢ | $12.8K | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 1,713 bets |
| mimi2025uk0xb6d1…d24f | No | 13,500 | 90.4¢ | $12.2K | New36 settled bets |
| Snoorrason0x805a…0635 | No | 13,396 | 92.0¢ | $12.1K | Positive+$2.75 per $100 · 6,247 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 13,000 | 91.2¢ | $11.8K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| QQQ7770x7f2d…39a8 | Yes | 121,850 | 10.3¢ | $11.6K | New94 settled bets |
| Lisbon0x8055…44c4 | No | 11,444 | 92.0¢ | $10.4K | Break-even+$0.25 per $100 · 641 bets |
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | No | 11,111 | 91.0¢ | $10.1K | Proven+$3.58 per $100 · 489 bets |
| almost-never0x88b5…205c | No | 11,000 | 80.0¢ | $9.96K | Positive+$2.60 per $100 · 484 bets |
| Humble0xb664…8669 | Yes | 100,000 | 10.8¢ | $9.5K | New72 settled bets |
| alexhamilton0xd1e8…27b1 | Yes | 99,062 | 18.3¢ | $9.41K | New3 settled bets |
| risk-manager0xa61e…0abd | No | 10,000 | 83.0¢ | $9.05K | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,055 bets |
| Vespuccii0x712f…9fe6 | No | 10,000 | 90.0¢ | $9.05K | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 238 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 9,987 | 91.3¢ | $9.04K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| Moond0x9dfe…b3dd | No | 9,884 | 85.8¢ | $8.95K | Proven+$7.42 per $100 · 2,276 bets |
| lukny14100xee31…4735 | No | 9,686 | 93.3¢ | $8.77K | New59 settled bets |
| 0x096e…9c9c | No | 9,653 | 81.6¢ | $8.74K | New7 settled bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | No | 9,526 | 90.8¢ | $8.62K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| yingxer0xded8…ca0f | No | 9,190 | 85.5¢ | $8.32K | New36 settled bets |
| mastm0x0530…e1e8 | Yes | 86,001 | 7.7¢ | $8.17K | New2 settled bets |
| doodle200x5fbf…41f8 | Yes | 79,668 | 11.2¢ | $7.57K | New15 settled bets |
| Monopoly_Money0x7ea7…79ac | No | 8,100 | 92.0¢ | $7.33K | Losing−$4.86 per $100 · 289 bets |
| Feriburg0xb702…e291 | No | 7,658 | 90.2¢ | $6.93K | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 292 bets |
| thiswaysir0x5375…c1a1 | Yes | 70,836 | 21.0¢ | $6.73K | New8 settled bets |
| bobo750080x6eea…cb72 | Yes | 47,675 | 15.0¢ | $4.53K | New2 settled bets |
| OrientSunshine0x123d…aa74 | Yes | 43,390 | 23.1¢ | $4.12K | New6 settled bets |
| azureus310x164e…0f52 | Yes | 42,300 | 10.1¢ | $4.02K | New0 settled bets |
| 0xc4f8…8a4a | Yes | 38,655 | 16.0¢ | $3.67K | New21 settled bets |
| imgerror0x02d5…cf22 | Yes | 34,681 | 8.9¢ | $3.29K | New5 settled bets |
| randomaccount70x88bb…c12b | Yes | 30,543 | 12.0¢ | $2.9K | New2 settled bets |
| 0x036d…53d0 | Yes | 30,402 | 20.1¢ | $2.89K | New6 settled bets |
| lettuce260xea21…502c | Yes | 30,174 | 8.3¢ | $2.87K | New0 settled bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 29,925 | 12.9¢ | $2.84K | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,246 bets |
| glitched0x843c…7e28 | Yes | 29,559 | 10.4¢ | $2.81K | New14 settled bets |
| walterwhitepill0x8fad…39c2 | Yes | 28,157 | 15.3¢ | $2.67K | New5 settled bets |
| 0x062f…823a | Yes | 24,770 | 17.5¢ | $2.35K | New12 settled bets |
| choyou820x7765…ebf4 | Yes | 24,693 | 8.4¢ | $2.35K | New0 settled bets |
| chickenwings930x984d…3bb2 | Yes | 23,896 | 8.3¢ | $2.27K | New52 settled bets |
| AAAAaaaahhhh0xc249…3e9a | Yes | 23,060 | 15.0¢ | $2.19K | New10 settled bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 22,123 | 4.0¢ | $2.1K | Losing−$1.34 per $100 · 16,309 bets |
| GamingToad0x11a4…34f1 | Yes | 21,994 | 9.3¢ | $2.09K | New3 settled bets |
| Snarfsnarfsnarf0x9536…7e50 | Yes | 21,468 | 13.2¢ | $2.04K | New3 settled bets |
| Pauljolo70xc3ec…e645 | Yes | 19,560 | 7.3¢ | $1.86K | New0 settled bets |
| Joel19700x0f91…8095 | Yes | 19,549 | 10.3¢ | $1.86K | New0 settled bets |
| justJ0xae69…334c | Yes | 18,916 | 19.6¢ | $1.8K | New7 settled bets |
| debased0x24c8…23e1 | Yes | 18,512 | 10.5¢ | $1.76K | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 7,227 bets |
| oldtesting0x9fd9…cda3 | Yes | 18,354 | 21.5¢ | $1.74K | Losing−$7.96 per $100 · 107 bets |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | Yes | 17,923 | 22.2¢ | $1.7K | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 45,035 bets |
| 0x9bc1…692e | Yes | 17,815 | 9.3¢ | $1.69K | Losing−$13.58 per $100 · 212 bets |
| saltricenet0x7b82…8293 | Yes | 17,696 | 23.7¢ | $1.68K | New0 settled bets |
| elkmonkey0xead1…c76a | Yes | 17,233 | 14.9¢ | $1.64K | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 20,455 bets |
| bigbluejay0x4cbe…100a | Yes | 16,659 | 14.3¢ | $1.58K | New71 settled bets |
| geoffmar0x469f…5de4 | Yes | 16,135 | 9.5¢ | $1.53K | New2 settled bets |
| Kickstand70xd1ac…08d5 | Yes | 15,856 | 21.3¢ | $1.51K | Proven+$5.21 per $100 · 1,923 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 15,594 | 15.2¢ | $1.48K | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 15,134 | 9.1¢ | $1.44K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,393 bets |
| ocene0x0eac…140a | Yes | 15,000 | 8.3¢ | $1.43K | New53 settled bets |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | Yes | 14,898 | 11.4¢ | $1.42K | Break-even−$0.46 per $100 · 1,154 bets |
| JohnnyB3690x20f6…fab9 | Yes | 13,611 | 9.0¢ | $1.29K | New7 settled bets |
| 0x2eda…0e71 | Yes | 13,541 | 19.5¢ | $1.29K | Proven+$2.35 per $100 · 393 bets |
| resfeber0x814d…b842 | Yes | 13,424 | 15.9¢ | $1.28K | Losing−$2.35 per $100 · 2,438 bets |
| Storming0xf278…87b6 | Yes | 12,842 | 25.3¢ | $1.22K | New14 settled bets |
| Gabquebec0x0d9e…d60e | Yes | 12,677 | 15.1¢ | $1.2K | New0 settled bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 10K shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.