Market · 3 of 4 outcomes
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:02 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milksheen0xd872…dfae | Yes | 1,089 | 61.9¢ | $784 | — |
| KiruaTrading0xa7d2…f954 | Yes | 456 | 34.6¢ | $328 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Yes |
| 292 |
| 61.0¢ |
| $210 |
| Proven+$3.19 per $100 · 161 bets |
| doubetter0x1000…b7b4 | Yes | 270 | 37.9¢ | $195 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 433 | 33.8¢ | $121 | Losing−$2.59 per $100 · 123,775 bets |
| WunnaWun0xe562…4fa9 | No | 422 | 51.2¢ | $118 | — |
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.06M in play