Market · 2 of 4 outcomes
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milksheen0xd872…dfae | Yes | 2,184 | 79.8¢ | $1.91K | — |
| SusanWarrenHR0x22db…190f | Yes | 310 | 71.8¢ | $271 | Proven+$4.72 per $100 · 8,307 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| mintable0xe977…74ca |
| Yes |
| 188 |
| 78.2¢ |
| $164 |
| — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 1,008 | 20.0¢ | $126 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| molodoyy0x564f…7026 | No | 836 | 15.4¢ | $105 | — |
| Mr.Frog🐸0xb1fe…423a | No | 596 | 19.2¢ | $75 | — |
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 95 events · $6.03M in play