Market · 1 of 4 outcomes
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milksheen0xd872…dfae | Yes | 2,559 | 86.2¢ | $2.5K | — |
| SusanWarrenHR0x22db…190f | Yes | 350 | 82.1¢ | $342 | Proven+$4.72 per $100 · 8,307 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| AboveLookUp0xe720…137c |
| Yes |
| 124 |
| 86.5¢ |
| $121 |
| — |
| OrionStars0x2733…a3c4 | Yes | 114 | 88.4¢ | $111 | — |
| techhawk0xc555…371f | Yes | 114 | 88.4¢ | $111 | — |
| romanova0x2af6…b030 | Yes | 80 | 83.1¢ | $78 | — |
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 95 events · $6.03M in play