Market · 4 of 4 outcomes
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:13 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redeemm0x35a0…2bab | No | 223 | 80.0¢ | $173 | — |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 200 | 92.0¢ | $155 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| KiruaTrading0xa7d2…f954 | Yes | 609 | 7.7¢ | $137 | — |
| NoTeacher0xcb48…be6d | No | 161 | 83.8¢ | $125 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 97 | 86.0¢ | $75 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | No | 84 | 91.0¢ | $65 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 95 events · $6.03M in play