Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:31 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 622 events · $32.1M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
22 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| botbot0x226b…cad6 | No | 223,152 | 36.9¢ | $83.7K | Proven+$8.32 per $100 · 1,117 bets |
| tmoneeey0xa974…ef79 | No | 198,597 | 41.5¢ | $74.5K | Break-even+$0.55 per $100 · 753 bets |
| Do-Not-Redeem0xad89…f6e1 | Yes | 65,875 | 64.9¢ | $41.2K | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 3,205 bets |
| mr.ozi0x614d…1546 | Yes | 55,000 | 63.4¢ | $34.4K | Proven+$4.92 per $100 · 2,289 bets |
| tetrose0x7447…a16d | Yes | 41,774 | 62.5¢ | $26.1K | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 772 bets |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 34,132 | 66.0¢ | $21.3K | Losing−$7.14 per $100 · 15,903 bets |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | 31,587 | 63.4¢ | $19.7K | New6 settled bets |
| 0xc8b9…b836 | Yes | 27,829 | 64.2¢ | $17.4K | Proven+$18.90 per $100 · 507 bets |
| BiDiFakePolls0xd24b…ef76 | Yes | 25,454 | 59.2¢ | $15.9K | Proven+$13.35 per $100 · 374 bets |
| Serendipity9950x15cd…0888 | Yes | 25,427 | 62.4¢ | $15.9K | New17 settled bets |
| scottilicious0x000d…758e | Yes | 23,042 | 62.8¢ | $14.4K | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 1,310 bets |
| polymarketbetter0xa147…3fcc | Yes | 20,344 | 53.0¢ | $12.7K | Losing−$17.22 per $100 · 200 bets |
| Monopoly_Money0x7ea7…79ac | Yes | 20,000 | 62.0¢ | $12.5K | Losing−$4.86 per $100 · 289 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 32,975 | 36.9¢ | $12.4K | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| mountaindewd0x944e…8c94 | Yes | 16,751 | 57.2¢ | $10.5K | Proven+$9.46 per $100 · 748 bets |
| alfabetica0x116a…6226 | Yes | 15,320 | 63.2¢ | $9.57K | New0 settled bets |
| Wickier0x1cc1…b8df | Yes | 14,992 | 63.0¢ | $9.37K | Proven+$18.22 per $100 · 1,097 bets |
| Zhangyuyang0xe18c…fb45 | Yes | 14,432 | 62.7¢ | $9.02K | New5 settled bets |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | No | 22,225 | 39.9¢ | $8.33K | Losing−$17.29 per $100 · 7,284 bets |
| qizhan0xac38…c04f | Yes | 13,055 | 64.7¢ | $8.16K | New60 settled bets |
| apmt0x328d…f7a9 | Yes | 11,985 | 52.8¢ | $7.49K | Proven+$9.98 per $100 · 114 bets |
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | Yes | 10,348 | 56.0¢ | $6.47K | Proven+$3.89 per $100 · 729 bets |
| 0xcf19…6402 | Yes | 10,000 | 64.0¢ | $6.25K | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 457 bets |
| supersmard0xe3f2…e1c1 | Yes | 10,000 | 65.0¢ | $6.25K | Proven+$18.23 per $100 · 164 bets |
| Carlosoiu0x30de…1f9d | Yes | 9,979 | 66.0¢ | $6.24K | Proven+$7.15 per $100 · 904 bets |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | Yes | 9,524 | 63.9¢ | $5.95K | Proven+$5.20 per $100 · 2,221 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 15,645 | 39.6¢ | $5.87K | Losing−$7.34 per $100 · 1,388 bets |
| dsoperative0x4be5…c1b3 | Yes | 9,000 | 57.7¢ | $5.62K | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 451 bets |
| hideo0x95bf…e00b | Yes | 8,265 | 60.5¢ | $5.17K | Proven+$3.41 per $100 · 384 bets |
| MJB0x394e…b5bf | Yes | 8,263 | 64.2¢ | $5.16K | New2 settled bets |
| Breezy-Entrance0x5fc8…39ef | Yes | 8,000 | 62.1¢ | $5K | Break-even+$0.44 per $100 · 1,893 bets |
| RFK-Jr0x8e41…5932 | No | 12,920 | 48.6¢ | $4.85K | Losing−$20.49 per $100 · 197 bets |
| seeyouontv0x3906…7556 | No | 12,835 | 38.8¢ | $4.81K | New60 settled bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 12,622 | 38.9¢ | $4.73K | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| Vespuccii0x712f…9fe6 | Yes | 7,469 | 62.1¢ | $4.67K | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 238 bets |
| TradeDeficitArchitect0x477f…19aa | Yes | 7,468 | 50.0¢ | $4.67K | Proven+$6.37 per $100 · 2,801 bets |
| StraddleSeller0x5207…686b | Yes | 6,972 | 52.4¢ | $4.36K | Proven+$18.06 per $100 · 506 bets |
| realizedlosses0x588b…5635 | Yes | 6,667 | 61.0¢ | $4.17K | New13 settled bets |
| cocobobo0x6122…fc91 | Yes | 6,315 | 64.4¢ | $3.95K | New48 settled bets |
| gopfan20xf2f6…5817 | Yes | 6,300 | 39.5¢ | $3.94K | Proven+$5.39 per $100 · 2,338 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 6,288 | 64.1¢ | $3.93K | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| moneymakingmachine0x420e…e3c9 | Yes | 6,178 | 37.2¢ | $3.86K | Losing−$3.29 per $100 · 1,690 bets |
| banspcltvecnmy0x6998…9ff2 | Yes | 6,125 | 48.7¢ | $3.83K | Proven+$9.22 per $100 · 252 bets |
| m1-2Ce40x21cf…0043 | No | 10,034 | 35.6¢ | $3.76K | New12 settled bets |
| brte0xca2f…e2cc | Yes | 6,010 | 61.9¢ | $3.76K | New7 settled bets |
| thanks4playing0xaa6e…04fe | No | 10,000 | 53.0¢ | $3.75K | New9 settled bets |
| Japan0x8258…f208 | Yes | 5,772 | 62.7¢ | $3.61K | Losing−$5.12 per $100 · 327 bets |
| 0xff1e…5e2d | Yes | 5,716 | 62.0¢ | $3.57K | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 639 bets |
| SaylorMoon0xecb1…5da3 | Yes | 5,370 | 64.9¢ | $3.36K | Positive+$1.33 per $100 · 2,898 bets |
| pax0xbfee…7272 | No | 8,800 | 35.4¢ | $3.3K | New32 settled bets |
| Erasmus.0xc658…b784 | Yes | 5,117 | 49.5¢ | $3.2K | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 875 bets |
| DualDelta0x1543…baaf | Yes | 5,068 | 59.6¢ | $3.17K | Proven+$9.89 per $100 · 324 bets |
| lug0xe0db…f44e | Yes | 5,000 | 62.1¢ | $3.13K | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 4,496 bets |
| neuroplasticompany0x2458…f8e7 | Yes | 5,000 | 60.0¢ | $3.13K | New43 settled bets |
| pop0x6404…f250 | Yes | 5,000 | 65.9¢ | $3.13K | Proven+$2.06 per $100 · 351 bets |
| 0xbe04…3c60 | Yes | 5,000 | 66.1¢ | $3.13K | Losing−$4.92 per $100 · 527 bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 5,000 | 45.0¢ | $3.12K | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| Javier777Milei0x2e61…19bd | Yes | 4,878 | 52.3¢ | $3.05K | Positive+$1.85 per $100 · 844 bets |
| mrworldwide0x98d0…f14a | Yes | 4,800 | 63.0¢ | $3K | Proven+$8.95 per $100 · 1,841 bets |
| Applebob0x341a…6bfa | No | 7,993 | 39.0¢ | $3K | New0 settled bets |
| 0x261c…827e | Yes | 4,715 | 64.6¢ | $2.95K | — |
| blunderbot0xa639…a48f | No | 7,390 | 44.1¢ | $2.77K | Break-even−$0.26 per $100 · 10,223 bets |
| Snarfsnarfsnarf0x9536…7e50 | No | 7,151 | 42.2¢ | $2.68K | New3 settled bets |
| Saltyballs0xd46b…5dab | No | 6,830 | 37.8¢ | $2.56K | Proven+$7.59 per $100 · 920 bets |
| planetnine0x183a…d514 | Yes | 4,000 | 59.0¢ | $2.5K | Break-even−$0.50 per $100 · 516 bets |
| DirkDiggler670xaab9…a08d | No | 6,586 | 42.9¢ | $2.47K | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| 0x16bb…8492 | No | 6,447 | 40.6¢ | $2.42K | Losing−$1.73 per $100 · 1,630 bets |
| Poopsie0xac34…2c89 | No | 5,342 | 40.3¢ | $2K | New21 settled bets |
| Oneko0xb6ac…6b83 | No | 5,105 | 50.0¢ | $1.91K | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 810 bets |
| t89e4ygf60x45ef…9037 | No | 5,000 | 36.0¢ | $1.87K | Positive+$1.13 per $100 · 140 bets |
| WeWook0x467f…c4ee | No | 5,000 | 34.6¢ | $1.87K | New4 settled bets |
| mrmotion0xc954…bdf5 | No | 4,750 | 41.1¢ | $1.78K | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 125 bets |
| n11220x0f35…45fd | No | 4,264 | 37.0¢ | $1.6K | New2 settled bets |
| ForTheWin19840x9cd5…9f12 | No | 4,240 | 38.9¢ | $1.59K | New12 settled bets |
| h0385960273550x88b6…3cff | No | 4,056 | 51.6¢ | $1.52K | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 740 bets |
| 0x5621…572b | No | 3,910 | 37.9¢ | $1.47K | — |
| MMH50x551d…4afe | No | 3,800 | 34.9¢ | $1.42K | New15 settled bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | No | 3,769 | 42.0¢ | $1.41K | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| nigiri990xdc41…dd7e | No | 3,737 | 39.1¢ | $1.4K | Losing−$2.86 per $100 · 32,269 bets |
| 0xd640…480c | No | 3,688 | 37.9¢ | $1.38K | Losing−$32.74 per $100 · 775 bets |
| 0x5375…aeea | No | 3,470 | 58.8¢ | $1.3K | Losing−$5.54 per $100 · 8,517 bets |
| Sayl7Seas0x77a6…3606 | No | 3,445 | 37.9¢ | $1.29K | New19 settled bets |
| quepasovato0x95d8…11ed | No | 3,332 | 36.9¢ | $1.25K | New9 settled bets |
| paullyd0xbf60…febb | No | 3,044 | 34.3¢ | $1.14K | New0 settled bets |
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | No | 3,000 | 40.0¢ | $1.13K | Proven+$7.45 per $100 · 578 bets |
| queengigi0x9f23…2124 | No | 2,632 | 38.9¢ | $987 | — |
| foobarb0xb50a…f610 | No | 2,555 | 38.9¢ | $958 | — |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | No | 2,488 | 38.4¢ | $933 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| westoo1230xebc5…4fe7 | No | 2,331 | 56.3¢ | $874 | New27 settled bets |
| TaylorSchifff0xaa68…94a7 | No | 2,323 | 60.2¢ | $871 | Break-even−$0.39 per $100 · 1,115 bets |
| JanusApprentice0x21c0…4827 | No | 2,245 | 50.0¢ | $842 | New99 settled bets |
| M8880x4344…f90d | No | 2,225 | 58.1¢ | $834 | Proven+$3.72 per $100 · 1,941 bets |
| HorribleWork0x7804…7025 | No | 2,206 | 40.0¢ | $827 | Losing−$1.90 per $100 · 1,375 bets |
| 8811120xd426…334a | No | 1,780 | 56.0¢ | $668 | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 1,765 | 40.5¢ | $662 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| OkaneKasegu0x5d74…ee45 | No | 1,739 | 57.0¢ | $652 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 710 bets |
| leto20xd3c0…3fba | No | 1,535 | 62.9¢ | $576 | New0 settled bets |
| ubv0x9763…722d | No | 1,500 | 58.0¢ | $563 | New4 settled bets |
| ChiCozCapital0xfbc4…201d | No | 1,500 | 36.0¢ | $562 | New23 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.