Market · 28 of 53 outcomes
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:27 UTC. Not financial advice.
41 more outcomes in this event.
These 53 outcomes add up to 91.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| gloriafoster0x5d18…4972 | Yes | 928,956 | 1.0¢ | $1.39K | Losing−$7.65 per $100 · 426 bets |
| petanimal0xfd69…a2e1 | Yes | 662,057 | 0.1¢ | $993 | Positive+$10.73 per $100 · 3,634 bets |
| SecondWindCapital0x8c80…02c3 | Yes | 264,614 | 1.1¢ | $397 | New79 settled bets |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | Yes | 179,443 | 0.5¢ | $269 | Proven+$5.27 per $100 · 3,127 bets |
| XVFlow0x78ad…45cc | Yes | 120,000 | 2.8¢ | $180 | Losing−$2.22 per $100 · 1,270 bets |
| 990ll90x86d8…2bde | No | 161 | 98.8¢ | $160 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 77 shares each side · Show
| |||||
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.