Market · 28 of 53 outcomes
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:35 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| gloriafoster0x5d18…4972 | Yes | 928,956 | 1.0¢ | $1.39K | Losing−$7.65 per $100 · 426 bets |
| petanimal0xfd69…a2e1 | Yes | 662,057 | 0.1¢ | $993 | Positive+$10.73 per $100 · 3,634 bets |
| SecondWindCapital0x8c80…02c3 | Yes | 264,614 | 1.1¢ | $397 | New79 settled bets |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | Yes | 179,443 | 0.5¢ | $269 | Proven+$5.27 per $100 · 3,127 bets |
| XVFlow0x78ad…45cc | Yes | 120,000 | 2.8¢ | $180 | Losing−$2.22 per $100 · 1,270 bets |
| 990ll90x86d8…2bde | No | 161 | 98.8¢ | $160 | — |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 91,218 | 1.0¢ | $137 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| ebobc0x35e4…5bbc | Yes | 84,423 | 1.6¢ | $127 | — |
| xlefgerx0x94e4…534a | Yes | 82,862 | 0.4¢ | $124 | Positive+$12.65 per $100 · 450 bets |
| arroyocarl0xb9ae…68b9 | No | 111 | 99.9¢ | $111 | — |
| norrisalexandra0xf1ea…eb9d | No | 107 | 99.6¢ | $107 | — |
| dftghnij0xe489…3dbb | No | 100 | 99.0¢ | $100 | — |
| DrugsandStolenRVs0xe570…084e | Yes | 64,556 | 0.8¢ | $97 | — |
| sullivansarah0xf736…4c1f | No | 96 | 99.9¢ | $96 | — |
| 0x119e…0d08 | No | 95 | 99.9¢ | $95 | — |
| louissanders0xa745…ce29 | No | 85 | 99.9¢ | $85 | — |
| jaimeguzman0xae89…1959 | No | 85 | 99.9¢ | $85 | — |
| carlapetersen0xafd2…0489 | No | 82 | 99.9¢ | $82 | — |
| fmaze0x9a2f…655b | Yes | 52,236 | 1.7¢ | $78 | — |
| longtermgains0xebdc…bf08 | Yes | 50,519 | 1.0¢ | $76 | — |
| megantapia0x459e…4c68 | No | 75 | 99.9¢ | $75 | — |
| katrinahernandez0x4e65…35c5 | No | 74 | 99.9¢ | $74 | — |
| nancygarrett0xdec4…5317 | No | 73 | 99.9¢ | $73 | — |
| jason340x2b90…7f95 | No | 71 | 99.9¢ | $71 | — |
| KKchallenge0xfe03…f14f | Yes | 46,630 | 1.0¢ | $70 | Break-even−$0.56 per $100 · 560 bets |
| jamesleach0xf8a3…d2e5 | No | 70 | 99.9¢ | $70 | — |
| jamesbarrett0xbdfd…8aba | No | 69 | 99.9¢ | $69 | — |
| staffordjennifer0x4269…9a92 | No | 67 | 99.9¢ | $67 | — |
| heatherweaver0x5934…2949 | No | 67 | 99.9¢ | $67 | — |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 44,061 | 0.8¢ | $66 | Losing−$1.33 per $100 · 16,250 bets |
| DarkleyWilling0xd2d5…df2f | Yes | 43,856 | 1.3¢ | $66 | Positive+$16.92 per $100 · 150 bets |
| calderondavid0x60de…821e | No | 62 | 99.9¢ | $62 | — |
| bulbnbob0x77b5…9170 | No | 60 | 99.3¢ | $60 | — |
| pax0xbfee…7272 | Yes | 37,006 | 0.6¢ | $56 | New32 settled bets |
| s19920x9243…2fd4 | No | 52 | 99.4¢ | $52 | — |
| jenkinsemily0x38a7…36a0 | No | 50 | 99.9¢ | $50 | — |
| ifsai0x91de…0b43 | No | 50 | 98.1¢ | $50 | — |
| paul000xbf3a…e02f | No | 48 | 99.9¢ | $48 | — |
| weeare0x6b44…5f46 | No | 45 | 98.3¢ | $45 | — |
| hicksbrittany0x447b…9296 | No | 44 | 99.9¢ | $44 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 28,128 | 1.0¢ | $42 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| hshtdht0xcc65…acbf | No | 40 | 99.9¢ | $40 | — |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 26,334 | 1.0¢ | $40 | — |
| TaxIsTheft0xa7b5…fa78 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.4¢ | $37 | Losing−$1.33 per $100 · 355 bets |
| kapustochka880x71d1…c3b1 | No | 36 | 97.8¢ | $36 | — |
| Donkov0xbc54…680f | Yes | 23,816 | 0.3¢ | $36 | Proven+$2.18 per $100 · 1,977 bets |
| 0x2560…078f | No | 34 | 99.9¢ | $34 | — |
| 0x0b01…8f47 | Yes | 22,185 | 1.0¢ | $33 | — |
| alllin0x402f…842c | No | 33 | 98.5¢ | $33 | — |
| konsecutive0x100f…d9e3 | Yes | 20,482 | 0.9¢ | $31 | — |
| 0xdd5d…1304 | No | 30 | 98.5¢ | $30 | — |
| GurdFS0xbd1e…af43 | No | 29 | 99.1¢ | $29 | — |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 19,220 | 0.7¢ | $29 | New41 settled bets |
| 0xbb8c…3363 | Yes | 17,730 | 0.5¢ | $27 | — |
| 456YRTERT0xe7cc…9492 | No | 23 | 98.8¢ | $23 | — |
| 0xdeaf…a212 | No | 23 | 98.5¢ | $23 | — |
| DJHANNA0x99ee…502d | No | 22 | 99.0¢ | $22 | — |
| kittyJJ0x7a72…b63c | No | 20 | 99.1¢ | $20 | — |
| loiklkj0xfc05…530b | No | 19 | 98.8¢ | $19 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 12,759 | 0.8¢ | $19 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| ftg6630x32db…938b | No | 18 | 99.4¢ | $18 | — |
| MillyFilly0x5c57…5b16 | Yes | 10,862 | 1.2¢ | $16 | Proven+$2.52 per $100 · 6,881 bets |
| 5647.eth0x397e…538a | No | 15 | 99.0¢ | $15 | — |
| SamuelZhang0xd3fa…b752 | No | 15 | 99.0¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xff6e…c89f | No | 15 | 99.0¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x6198…e028 | No | 14 | 99.0¢ | $14 | — |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 9,445 | 1.0¢ | $14 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| hnhn0xbede…c25a | No | 14 | 99.0¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xe65d…da9b | No | 14 | 99.0¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x2284…3fcb | No | 14 | 99.0¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x5fd5…cc73 | No | 13 | 99.0¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x8cce…7581 | No | 13 | 99.0¢ | $13 | — |
| oi6uj0x3567…d5b3 | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 8,670 | 14.7¢ | $13 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 7,832 | 0.4¢ | $12 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.8¢ | $9 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 5,603 | 0.7¢ | $8 | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,377 bets |
| 0x9902…34b3 | Yes | 4,724 | 1.3¢ | $7 | — |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 4,700 | 0.4¢ | $7 | Positive+$9.88 per $100 · 2,562 bets |
| pregamee0xa88d…9830 | Yes | 4,641 | 0.3¢ | $7 | — |
| 2498an0n0x6e7e…2a50 | Yes | 4,545 | 2.2¢ | $7 | — |
| f2kus0xdcf8…93c6 | Yes | 4,170 | 1.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 4,107 | 0.7¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| bib70x0850…cb8c | Yes | 3,948 | 1.3¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xa937…fdd5 | Yes | 3,846 | 1.3¢ | $6 | — |
| SpacemanSpiff990x372b…2eda | Yes | 3,844 | 1.3¢ | $6 | — |
| simplystupid1880x682c…17ae | Yes | 3,792 | 1.5¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.84 per $100 · 1,501 bets |
| Ireland4u0xc665…bd97 | Yes | 3,697 | 0.9¢ | $6 | — |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 3,645 | 0.7¢ | $5 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| lockhub0x7fff…b34e | Yes | 3,571 | 1.4¢ | $5 | — |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 3,331 | 0.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,182 bets |
| kqwjehrbqwemn0x92f6…bd97 | Yes | 3,300 | 0.7¢ | $5 | New65 settled bets |
| PMPAndrew0x1bbe…1559 | Yes | 2,873 | 1.3¢ | $4 | — |
| VOrban0x6ae4…d4ce | Yes | 2,741 | 1.2¢ | $4 | — |
| madlaboratoor0x17fa…e908 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.8¢ | $4 | — |
| everymarket0xa1a0…2746 | Yes | 2,350 | 0.2¢ | $4 | Losing−$16.23 per $100 · 1,232 bets |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 2,330 | 0.8¢ | $3 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,147 bets |
| 0xf078…6a87 | Yes | 1,465 | 2.2¢ | $2 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 77 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.