Market · 13 of 16 outcomes
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:42 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| devin.lawson.770x94d6…9ab8 | No | 10,709 | 88.8¢ | $10.4K | — |
| FATMAN0xea83…5c8f | No | 6,671 | 82.0¢ | $6.5K | Positive+$1.58 per $100 · 211 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| prophet-spaces0x2dd2…d5d8 |
| No |
| 4,285 |
| 94.1¢ |
| $4.18K |
| New82 settled bets |
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | No | 2,492 | 88.1¢ | $2.43K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| MirAsifAhr0x9437…e75f | No | 1,000 | 88.3¢ | $975 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 552 bets |
| BDBull0x28d1…9bdc | No | 825 | 88.5¢ | $804 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 429 shares each side · Show
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4 more outcomes in this event.