Market · 6 of 16 outcomes
Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kjhgjfgh0x8088…161a | No | 955 | 97.3¢ | $914 | — |
| dftyfh0x29ff…3096 | No | 730 | 97.3¢ | $699 | — |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | No | 500 | 94.5¢ | $479 | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 2,408 bets |
| rthaseas0x1111…f642 | No | 325 | 97.3¢ | $311 | — |
| gvuilxfdr0x0da7…9684 | No | 310 | 97.3¢ | $297 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 127 | 97.9¢ | $121 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,912 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
4 more outcomes in this event.