Market · 11 of 16 outcomes
Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| yjdf0xde85…c115 | No | 705 | 98.0¢ | $683 | — |
| tdjheaq0x43f3…f86e | No | 452 | 98.0¢ | $438 | — |
| asxger0x24b6…40f5 | No | 375 | 97.8¢ | $364 | — |
| FeetGoddessTaylorSwift0x269d…13cd | No | 305 | 96.7¢ | $296 | — |
| rgredxc0x277f…b64d | No | 285 | 97.6¢ | $276 | — |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | No | 200 | 95.0¢ | $194 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
4 more outcomes in this event.