Market · 11 of 16 outcomes
Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| yjdf0xde85…c115 | No | 705 | 98.0¢ | $683 | — |
| tdjheaq0x43f3…f86e | No | 452 | 98.0¢ | $438 | — |
| asxger0x24b6…40f5 | No | 375 | 97.8¢ | $364 | — |
| rgredxc0x277f…b64d | No | 285 | 97.6¢ | $276 | — |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | No | 200 | 95.0¢ | $194 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 126 | 97.4¢ | $122 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,881 bets |
| cashllio0xe221…1505 | No | 100 | 96.4¢ | $97 | — |
| PowerPicker0x49e5…f527 | No | 90 | 96.0¢ | $87 | — |
| tnl0xb619…5068 | No | 74 | 97.1¢ | $72 | Break-even+$0.97 per $100 · 1,243 bets |
| yukdreset0xaeef…1ba4 | Yes | 1,817 | 2.1¢ | $55 | — |
| annetardy0x324c…73dc | No | 55 | 96.6¢ | $53 | — |
| blizoruchka0xd6ab…e432 | No | 53 | 96.3¢ | $51 | — |
| chance677770x6604…6beb | No | 50 | 96.8¢ | $48 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 50 | 96.1¢ | $48 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| DREAMBIG.0x9e8e…8db8 | No | 49 | 93.0¢ | $47 | Proven+$18.01 per $100 · 5,706 bets |
| 0x452d…f886 | No | 41 | 97.0¢ | $40 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 320 bets |
| yannfournier0xcc8a…7d9c | No | 36 | 96.4¢ | $35 | — |
| Fain0x0262…a9d2 | No | 30 | 97.5¢ | $29 | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 1,419 bets |
| MiMiMi-5090x00e5…ce60 | No | 21 | 94.0¢ | $21 | — |
| gghff0x044f…d1f1 | No | 21 | 93.0¢ | $21 | — |
| streetmonster0x3ead…d177 | No | 21 | 95.3¢ | $20 | New67 settled bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 19 | 97.1¢ | $18 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 459 | 3.1¢ | $14 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| chudcel0x9d30…b89f | No | 10 | 96.8¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xd217…a747 | No | 9 | 95.8¢ | $9 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 259 | 3.7¢ | $8 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 215 | 3.9¢ | $7 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 5 | 97.6¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xaf40…5662 | No | 5 | 94.5¢ | $5 | — |
| qcp140xa76b…8a50 | No | 5 | 94.0¢ | $4 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 66 | 3.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,693+ bets · updating |
| 0x8021…6189 | No | 2 | 97.7¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.71 per $100 · 166 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 61 | 5.1¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | No | 2 | 96.4¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 627 bets |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | No | 1 | 93.9¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,062 bets |
| 0xf1b6…bfd2 | No | 1 | 95.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6363…98b2 | No | 1 | 95.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.68 per $100 · 349 bets |
| 0x02e3…3154 | No | 1 | 96.0¢ | $1 | — |
| vitality260x595c…0c7f | No | 1 | 96.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1508…2e0b | No | 1 | 97.2¢ | $1 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 20 | 4.3¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | 0 | 96.4¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 1 | 4.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| sebelmaestro0x1a96…9797 | No | 0 | 95.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.17 per $100 · 5,892 bets |
| longdated-poli0x167a…91d5 | No | 0 | 95.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.90 per $100 · 4,676 bets |
| Bertramq0x3796…a350 | No | 0 | 96.1¢ | $0 | — |
| anonum0xad5c…b927 | No | 0 | 96.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 76dgdf0x93bc…c5be | Yes | 0 | 8.6¢ | $0 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 0 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.