Market · 3 of 16 outcomes
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
4 more outcomes in this event.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LJa7io23MCv954j0x85a8…9281 | No | 8,683 | 80.7¢ | $8.08K | — |
| M2sx92kljs420xb4f2…e5fa | No | 6,166 | 82.4¢ | $5.73K | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 549 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| FastPaws0x0548…d852 | No | 1,697 | 91.5¢ | $1.58K | New39 settled bets |
| mocamoca0x45b2…cbc1 | No | 1,052 | 19.0¢ | $978 | — |
| Giannis20260xe5b4…1e3e | No | 750 | 70.3¢ | $697 | Proven+$13.43 per $100 · 350 bets |
| tnl0xb619…5068 | No | 462 | 79.0¢ | $429 | Break-even+$0.97 per $100 · 1,242 bets |