Market · 10 of 16 outcomes
Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tnl0xb619…5068 | No | 1,597 | 92.0¢ | $1.54K | Break-even+$0.97 per $100 · 1,242 bets |
| 0xaf40…5662 | No | 203 | 91.1¢ | $196 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 112 |
| 89.8¢ |
| $109 |
| — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 504 | 6.2¢ | $17 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| solder0x727e…8b9d | No | 15 | 87.0¢ | $14 | — |
| alfredon9960xc96a…702c | No | 11 | 88.0¢ | $11 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 105 shares each side · Show
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4 more outcomes in this event.