Market · 10 of 16 outcomes
Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:07 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tnl0xb619…5068 | No | 1,597 | 92.0¢ | $1.54K | Break-even+$0.97 per $100 · 1,242 bets |
| 0xaf40…5662 | No | 203 | 91.1¢ | $196 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 112 |
| 89.8¢ |
| $109 |
| — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 504 | 6.2¢ | $17 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| solder0x727e…8b9d | No | 15 | 87.0¢ | $14 | — |
| alfredon9960xc96a…702c | No | 11 | 88.0¢ | $11 | — |
| peakyman0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | 312 | 4.2¢ | $10 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 236 | 3.9¢ | $8 | — |
| 1BTCis1BTC0xc759…b965 | Yes | 201 | 3.7¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xd217…a747 | No | 7 | 91.1¢ | $6 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 176 | 9.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | Yes | 161 | 8.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xa7f4…1e31 | No | 5 | 91.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 126 | 3.8¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 4,762 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 85 | 5.7¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 2 | 92.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x8021…6189 | No | 2 | 96.3¢ | $2 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 37 | 4.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.76 per $100 · 122,728 bets |
| 0x1508…2e0b | No | 1 | 95.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6363…98b2 | No | 1 | 98.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1178…772f | Yes | 24 | 4.2¢ | $1 | — |
| doronyos0x2281…06fd | Yes | 22 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| snrts0xfbe5…33a4 | Yes | 22 | 9.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | Yes | 19 | 10.0¢ | $1 | — |
| niglette0x23ed…aebc | Yes | 14 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| DREAMBIG.0x9e8e…8db8 | Yes | 14 | 11.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$18.01 per $100 · 5,706 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 2 | 3.7¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 1 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| shoobadooba180x2d6c…e3f5 | No | 0 | 96.2¢ | $0 | — |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | Yes | 1 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 76dgdf0x93bc…c5be | Yes | 0 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| highfiveHQ0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | 0 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 105 shares each side · Show
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